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2022.05.14
the past 10 years,Victoria MileThe result of the most popular horse in is[3-2-0-5]and there is no victory by the second and third most popular horses. On the other hand, the 4th to 6th popularity has 4 wins, the 7th to 9th popularity has 2 wins, and the 11th popularity has 1 win. It is a race where you can see many good runs of ambush horses as a whole. In 2015, when Straight Girl won, the trifecta was settled by the 5th, 12th, and 18th popularity, and recorded a trifecta of 20,705,810 yen. This is the 6th place in the JRA triple payout ranking.
The reason why the Victoria Mile is so rough is thought to be the distance of 1600m. At the GI Queen Elizabeth Cup, the only old horse mare in the second half of the year at 2200m, the majority of racehorses have used medium distance, but Victoria Mile has a clash between the sprint route and the medium distance route. Such diversification of rotation makes power-related judges difficult, and as a result, a scheme that the betting ticket becomes rough is established.
In the past 10 years, 7 horses with a popular lid girder[1-4-2-79]have been involved in betting tickets, and this time we will focus on the previous run of those horses. Three of the seven horses were in the battle from Hanshin Himba S, but in 2014 Verxina was the 5th most popular 11th place, and in 2013 Whale Capture was the 6th most popular 14th place, and 2 horses betrayed the popularity. On the other hand, in the previous run of 4 horses other than Hanshin Himba S, all horses are GIII limited to female horses, Rambling Alley is the 7th most popular 1st place in Nakayama Himba S, Denko Ange is the 8th most popular 4th place in Fukushima Himba S, Keiai Elegant Kyoto Himba S was the 9th most popular 1st place, and Minaret was the 14th most popular 5th place in the Fukushima Himba S.
Regarding the former, in the past 10 years Victoria Mile, the previous run Hanshin Himba S group has the most run, and if it seems to be less popular there, it tends to be neglected in the actual race. However, there are many horses that have had Hanshin Himba S for a long time on the program table, and it can be said that it is premature to give up on this one race alone when looking at the rebound at the Victoria Mile. In addition, the mare-only GIII group is often judged to have a low level of racehorses, and it is difficult for them to become popular even if they run well. These two patterns are the “Victoria Mile”AnomaIt will be a hint for excavation.
■ Des Ailes
After finishing 3rd in the Aichi Cup, which was the first race of this year, he was the 2nd most popular 3rd place in the previous Hanshin Himba S. The winning horse, Meisho Mimosa, who scooped up the inside, and Andvaranaut, who had been racing easily before, were allowed to arrive first, but with a stable approach, they finished 3rd in a row with a heavy prize.
Although he lost to 8th place in this race last year, the tension was a little high and it was not the original run, and he was not as defeated as the 2nd place with 0 seconds 2 difference. In addition, the Tokyo course has won the Listed Sweet Pea S and the Hatsune S in the 3-win class, and as if it had won the Hanshin Himba S last year, this distance is also within the defensive range. There is no difference from the top as popular.
This race has a strong Deep Impact production piece, and last year it dominated the top three places, and it is in the betting ticket range almost every year. This year, there are only four pieces of the same product, including Des Ailes. I saw that this horse had a good chance.
◆[Victoria Mile 2022 Forecast / Overtake Diagnosis]One of the 5 GI horses with a high rating of “A”.
▼ UMAJIN Channel “Winning! Okai Juku-Victoria Mile Edition”
Author profile
Tsuyoshi Yamada ● Editor-in-chief of “SPREAD”
Former editor-in-chief of horse racing monthly magazine, and now editor-in-chief of media “SPREAD” that reads the future of sports. He has been pursuing the Anoma conjecture ever since he was shocked by the runaway of the 16th most popular 2nd place Meisho Tesoro in the 1995 Mile CS. “Uma Musume” is recommended by Gold Ship.