Von der Leyen’s Potential Return: Could Brussels’ Powerbroker Become Germany’s First Female President?
Germany’s political landscape is already bracing for a pivotal moment in 2027, with speculation mounting over who will succeed current President Frank-Walter Steinmeier. While the election remains years away, a name is gaining traction that could dramatically reshape the balance of power in both Berlin and Brussels: **Ursula von der Leyen**. German media reports suggest the current President of the European Commission is being seriously considered by the CDU, potentially setting the stage for a high-stakes political maneuver with far-reaching implications for the future of Europe.
The CDU’s Strategic Calculation
According to publications like Bild and Der Spiegel, the CDU is actively evaluating von der Leyen as a leading contender. This isn’t simply about finding a successor; it’s about strategically positioning the party for the future. Von der Leyen’s experience – having served in multiple roles within Angela Merkel’s government between 2005 and 2019 – provides a deep understanding of German politics. Furthermore, she would shatter a significant glass ceiling, becoming Germany’s first female president. This symbolic weight cannot be underestimated in a country still navigating gender equality in leadership positions.
A Power Vacuum in Brussels?
However, a move to the German presidency wouldn’t be without its costs. Von der Leyen would be forced to relinquish her position at the European Commission before her current term ends. This would create a significant power vacuum in Brussels at a time of considerable geopolitical uncertainty. Germany would lose a key advocate and negotiator on the European stage, potentially weakening its influence on critical issues like energy policy, defense, and economic regulation. The timing is particularly sensitive given the ongoing challenges facing the EU, including navigating the fallout from the war in Ukraine and managing internal divisions over migration and fiscal policy.
Von der Leyen’s Recent Political Resilience
Despite facing a recent motion of no confidence – fueled by far-right MEPs over transparency concerns regarding COVID-19 vaccine purchases – von der Leyen successfully navigated the challenge in July. While the motion ultimately failed, experts suggest it inadvertently strengthened the position of the far-right while simultaneously revealing vulnerabilities in von der Leyen’s leadership. This resilience, however, could be viewed as a testament to her political acumen and ability to withstand pressure, qualities that would undoubtedly serve her well as president.
The Tradition of Consensus and the Role of the ‘Kingmaker’
German presidential elections operate differently than those in many other countries. Traditionally, major parties negotiate behind closed doors to agree on a consensus candidate. As Bild points out, this process often makes the outcome largely predictable. This means that while von der Leyen may be a favored candidate within the CDU, her success hinges on securing the support of other key players, particularly the Social Democrats (SPD), who currently lead the governing coalition. The role of the outgoing Chancellor, Olaf Scholz, will be crucial in brokering any potential agreement.
Looking Ahead: A Shift in European Power Dynamics?
The possibility of von der Leyen returning to Germany raises fundamental questions about the future of European leadership. Would her departure from the Commission embolden more nationalistic forces within the EU? Could it lead to a weakening of the European project at a time when unity is paramount? Alternatively, could her experience in Brussels strengthen Germany’s role as a driving force for European integration? The answer likely depends on who succeeds her at the Commission and the broader geopolitical context in 2027.
The current official line from the European Commission, relayed by a spokesperson to Euronews, is that von der Leyen remains “fully focused on her duties” and is “not available for other functions or positions.” However, such statements are commonplace in high-stakes political maneuvering. The coming years will undoubtedly see increased speculation and behind-the-scenes negotiations as Germany prepares for a presidential election that could redefine its place in Europe and beyond.
What impact would a von der Leyen presidency have on Germany’s relationship with its European partners? Share your thoughts in the comments below!
