Week 15 NFL: picks, bets and Playoff scenarios

After this Sunday, the outlook towards the Playoffs 2022 it will be clearer. With four weeks to go on the regular calendar, the W15 could leave us with up to five more qualifiers, joining Philadelphia, which got the ticket on Sunday with the beating of the Giants.

So before the picks, let’s see the Playoff scenarios for this Week 15:

AFC

BUFFALO

The Bills (10-3) play this Saturday at home against Miami (8-5)

Buffalo clinches a playoff berth with:

  • 1) Buffalo Triumph or
  • 2) Buffalo tie + Chargers loss or
  • 3) Buffalo tie + Jets loss + Patriots loss or
  • 4) Buffalo tie + Jets loss + Patriots tie + Chargers tie

KANSAS CITY

The Chiefs (10-3) visit the Texans (1-11-1) on Sunday.

Kansas City clinches the AFC West Division title with:

  • 1) Kansas City Triumph
  • 2) Defeat of Chargers or
  • 3) Kansas City tie + Chargers tie

Kansas City clinches a playoff berth with:

  • 1) Kansas City tie + Jets loss + Patriots loss
  • 2) Kansas City tie + Dolphins loss + Patriots loss + Jets draw o
  • 3) Kansas City tie + Dolphins loss + Jets loss + Patriots tie

NFC

DALLAS

The Cowboys (10-3) play Jacksonville (5-8) on Sunday.

Dallas clinches a playoff spot with:

  • 1) Dallas Trump or
  • 2) Dallas tie + Giants game vs. Commanders does not end in a tie or
  • 3) Dallas tie + Seahawks tie defeat o
  • 4) Seahawks defeat + Lions defeat tie o
  • 5) Defeat Seahawks + Defeat Commanders

MINNESOTA

The Vikings (10-3) host Indianapolis (4-8-1) on Saturday.

Minnesota wins the NFC North Division title with:

  • 1) Victoria or Vikings draw or
  • 2) Defeat Lions tie

SAN FRANCISCO

The 49ers (9-4) visit Seattle (7-6) on Thursday night.

San Francisco wins the NFC West Division title with:

All very clear, right?

Well, let’s go to the picks:

GAME OF THE WEEK

Detroit to New York Jets (-0.5)

You may be surprised by this choice for Game of the Week. It’s just that, honestly, I don’t think we’ll have a more entertaining duel than this.

On one side are the Lions, who have won five of their most recent six, their only loss being to Buffalo (and by a field goal).

In their last four victories they have scored 31 or more points, including 40 to Jacksonville and 34 to Minnesota In the past week. Furthermore, in that six-week period, Jared Goff he has eight touchdown passes and zero interceptions.

The team that made us fall in love with Hard Knocks and to which many experts labeled “Surprise of the Year”, has finally clicked thanks to the unique style of the coach Dan Campbell.

On the other side are the Jets, who after starting the season with a 6-3 record, are 1-3 after the bye week and have had to use three quarterbacks, including Zach Wilsonthe second overall pick in the 2021 Draft who is beginning to emit a fetid smell of bust.

Mike White (80 of 129,952 yards, three touchdowns and two interceptions) hasn’t done badly in relief, but he’s still in doubt for the game against the Lions after a couple of vicious rib shots he took in Buffalo.

If White can’t start, then the Jets will have to turn to the veteran. Joe Flaccowho is 1-3 this season.

New York’s defense could also miss one of its starters, tackle Quinnen Williamsleading the team in sacks with 11 and who suffered a calf injury in the loss to the Bills.

The Jets rank fourth in pass defense and sixth in average points allowed per game, at 18.7.

One of the duels to follow in this game is the one between the rookie cornerback of the Jets, Sauce Gardner ante Amon-Ra St. Brown. Gardener leads the NFL with 16 passes defensed and St. Brown leads Detroit wide receivers with 82 catches, 898 yards and six touchdowns.

El pick: Despite the losses on both sides of the ball, the Jets defense will keep this game close, but Goff and Detroit’s offense will make enough big plays to settle this matchup and still hope they can make the playoffs as a Wild Card in the NFC. Lions 23-20 NYJ

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SURE PICK

Philadelphia (-8.5) and Chicago

Chicago’s defense is mediocre and this season Jalen Hurts he has torn apart mediocre defenses. Eagles 38-23 Bears

UPSET SPECIAL

Baltimore and Cleveland (-3)

Deshaun Watson he hasn’t completed 50% (38 of 64) of his passes, has only one touchdown and two interceptions in two games with the Browns. Baltimore 23-17 Cleveland

TWO MINUTE DRIVE

San Francisco (-3.5) at Seattle

with the rookie Brock Purdy At the controls, the Niners look as solid or more solid than they do with Jimmy Garoppolo. 49ers 29-14 Seahawks

Indianapolis at Minnesota (-4.5)

The Colts have won six in a row from the Vikings; I don’t think there is a surprise, but it is a closed game. Minnesota 24-20 Indianapolis

Miami at Buffalo (-7.5)

Tua Tagovailoa and the Dolphins have looked bad two weeks in a row; furthermore, the Bills have won seven of the most recent eight in this rivalry, which now has serious postseason implications. Buffalo 27-20 Miami

Pittsburgh en Carolina (-2.5)

There is too much evidence that Mitchell Trubisky He doesn’t belong to the NFL. Panthers 27-19 Steelers

Kansas City (-14) at Houston

If the Chiefs don’t relax — like they did last week in Denver — this has to be a massacre. Kansas City 38-21 Houston

Dallas (-5) en Jacksonville

Los Cowboys they got complicated against Indianapolis and Houston… and they are going to get complicated against the Jaguars. Dallas 31-29 Jacksonville

Atlanta at New Orleans (-4)

Golden opportunity for New Orleans to get into the fight for the most horrifying Division in the league. Saints 24-17 Falcons

Arizona and Denver (-3)

How bad will the Cardinals be, that the Broncos are favorites. Denver 23-17 Arizona

New England (-1.0) at Las Vegas

Josh McDaniels against his former boss, a certain Bill Belichick. Y Josh Jacobs against Bill Belichick’s regular run defense. Raiders 24-21 Patriots

Tennessee en Los Angeles Chargers (-3)

The Titans have lost three in a row by a combined score of 58-91; the Chargers have won three of the last seven, but I liked what I saw of their defense against Miami. LAC 27-22 Tennessee

Cincinnati (-4) en Tampa Bay

Does anyone really think that Tom Brady could he still play another year in the NFL? Bengals 28-19 Bucs

New York Giants en Washington (-4)

Do whatever, but please DO NOT TIE again. Commanders 27-20 Giants

Los Angeles Rams en Green Bay (-7)

Don’t blame those who plan the calendar. This was supposed to be a game with playoff implications. Packers 26-17 Rams

In the past week: 7-6

Total in the season: 124-82-2

ON THE LINE OF PLAY

week 15 Pyrrho recommends
San Francisco in Seattle 49ers -3.5
Indianapolis in Minnesota Colts +4.5
Baltimore and Cleveland Ravens +3
miami in buffalo Over 42.5
Pittsburgh not Carolina Panthers -2.5
Philadelphia and Chicago Eagles -8.5
Kansas City and Houston Chiefs -14
Dallas en Jacksonville Jaguars +5
Atlanta and New Orleans Saints -4
Detroit to New York Jets Lions +0.5
Arizona and Denver Over 36.5
New England in Las Vegas Under 44.5
Tennessee en Los Angeles Chargers Chargers -3
Cincinnati en Tampa Bay Bengals -4
New York Giants en Washington Commanders -4
Los Angeles Rams en Green Bay Packers -7

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