[경제]House price forecast this year… Brokers 63% “fall” vs experts 64% “rise”

[앵커]

House prices rose sharply last year, so many of you may be wondering what will happen to house prices this year.

Interesting survey results came out about this.

Many real estate agents that deal directly with customers predicted that house prices would fall this year, and conversely, there were many forecasts that it would rise among real estate experts in the construction and financial industries.

Let’s connect with a reporter to find out more. Reporter Ryu Hwan-hong!

Why are the views so mixed?

[기자]

The reason why the forecasts were so mixed is because they had different perspectives on the real estate market this year.

According to the results of a survey released by the KB Financial Group Management Research Institute today, 63% of real estate agents nationwide predicted that house prices would fall this year.

As the basis for this, the first cited loan regulation, second, the burden of trading price, and third, the burden of trading cost.

The factors that contributed to the decline were that it became more difficult to get a mortgage, and that house prices were too high to make it difficult to buy.

On the other hand, many real estate experts in the construction, financial industry and academia predicted that it would rise further.

64% of real estate experts predicted a further increase.

Reasons for this were cited lack of supply, policy changes after the presidential election, and a decrease in properties due to tightening government regulations.

He believed that the supply was still insufficient compared to the demand for housing, and that there is room for further tightening of the government’s real estate market regulation after the election.

This survey was conducted from the 5th to the 11th of last month, targeting 500 real estate agents and 100 real estate experts nationwide.

In addition, KB Financial Group’s Management Research Institute presented the results of analysis of the bubble caused by the surge in housing prices, that is, the bubble controversy.

The institute believes that the possibility of a sharp drop in house prices is low unless there is a shock factor such as the foreign exchange crisis.

It was seen that there is a great possibility of a gradual adjustment.

He cited the fact that, above all else, the market’s trust in the property of housing is high.

After the global financial crisis, only Seoul and the metropolitan area had moderate adjustments, and in the case of the provinces, rather, they entered a long-term upward trend from 2010.

In other words, as house prices have risen over the past 10 years, the belief that housing is a high-quality asset has grown, so even if there is a bubble, it is highly likely to be moderately adjusted.

Until now, this is Hwanhong Ryu from YTN at the Ministry of Economy.

YTN Ryu Hwanhong ([email protected])

※ ‘Your report becomes news’
[카카오톡] Search YTN to add a channel
[전화] 02-398-8585
[메일] [email protected]

[저작권자(c) YTN & YTN plus 무단전재 및 재배포 금지]

Leave a Comment

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.