2023 NBA Free Agency Analysis: Salary Cuts, Short Tenures, and Staying with the Home Team

2023-07-01 15:44:22

With few options for team transfer and the home team’s better bargaining power, most workers did not insist on “non-renewal if they are not paid the maximum salary”, and the management did not use their power to suppress the workers. Instead, they took a step back and chose a compromise solution. .

On the first day of the opening of the NBA free market in 2023, as many as 30 free agents have finalized their location for the new season. Examining all the signings on the first day of the market opening, three major phenomena can be observed: salary cuts, short tenures, and staying with the home team. The reason for this phenomenon may be related to the overall environment and the launch of the new labor agreement (CBA).

Further reading: 2023 NBA off-season free agency, trade summary

First of all, more than two-thirds of the teams in the league this year have team salaries that have exceeded the salary cap. Only the Pistons, Rockets, Pacers, Thunder, Magic, Spurs and Jazz still have salary space, and they can sign players from the free market. But most of these teams are in the rebuilding period and will not be the favorite place for big coffee free agents.

As for several championship powers, including the Celtics, Nuggets, Warriors, Clippers, Heat, 76ers, and Suns, they have all exceeded the first local tyrant tax line (The First Apron). ), so players cannot be acquired in a sign-and-trade manner.

In addition, teams such as the Lakers, Mavericks, Bucks, etc., although they have room to sign first and then trade,But doing so will result in the team having to stay under the hard cap for the entire next season., the operation is constrained everywhere. Moreover, it is too troublesome to collect chips that satisfy the opponent, which may be the reason for the decline in the willingness of the teams to sign first and then change.

Furthermore, the new version of CBA will be officially launched on July 1 this year. If the team’s salary exceeds the newly added second local tyrant tax line (The Second Apron), the signing operation will be greatly restricted. Sign first and then change, and players cannot be signed in the mid-season buyout market, and it is also forbidden to get back a package with a higher total salary through transactions. The first-round picks within the next seven years as trading chips are also restricted, and cash purchases are not allowed The second-round picks were picked at the draft. A few days ago, the Suns, Warriors and Celtics all made blockbuster deals involving stars.

Although the above-mentioned regulations will be implemented in stages, and some regulations will be officially implemented in 2024, in order to avoid falling into the quagmire of the second tax line for local tyrants in the future, the uniform team must start to plan ahead this year, and the contracts offered need to be more careful. , to maintain long-term operational resilience. In other words, when negotiating with free agents, the team will be more reluctant to offer a longer-term maximum salary contract. Possibility of a second local tyrant tax line.

On the whole, the environment of this year’s free market is not conducive to the transfer of free agents. If you want to get more money, you may have to go to a team with a poor record; if you stay with the original team, you may have to accept a salary cut proposal and return with a contract with a lower total value and a shorter period. If you don’t want to be ashamed of your pockets and want to stay on a more competitive team, the best way may be to stay with the original team, because the renewal of the bird rights is not a salary cap, especially when the home team itself is Especially for a team with title hopes.

This may also be the main reason why Khris Middleton (Bucks, 3 years/102M), Kyrie Irving (Mavericks, 3 years/126M) and Draymond Green (Warriors, 4 years/100M) signed extensions with their parent teams. Another advantage of staying in the original team is that it can continue the original role positioning, and it is more guaranteed for one’s own development space and worth. Therefore, not only superstars, but also high-quality rotations such as Caris LeVert (Cavaliers, 2 years/32M) and Herbert Jones (Pelicans, 4 years/54M) have also decided to continue to cooperate with their old clubs.

In fact, long before the opening of the market, some people have already noticed the trend of this year’s free market, and reached a contract extension agreement with the parent team in advance, such as Harrison Barnes (Kings, 3 years/54M), Naz Reid (Grey Wolves, 3 years/42M) ) and Nikola Vucevic (Bulls, 3 years/60M).

Several players who have player options also tend not to join the free market easily, so as to respond to changes without change. Josh Hart, who switched to the Knicks in the middle of last season, averaged 10.2 points, 7.0 rebounds and 1.4 steals per game during his time with the Knicks, and his shooting measurements were 59%/52%/80%. , thus deciding to implement the player option. James Harden, who reached a breakup agreement with the 76ers, also implemented player options, allowing the team to slowly look for trading opportunities and increase the flexibility of team transfers.

With few options for team transfer and the home team’s better bargaining power, most workers did not insist on “non-renewal if they are not paid the maximum salary”, and the management did not use their power to suppress the workers. Instead, they took a step back and chose a compromise solution. . For example, the contract between Irving and the Mavericks is in the form of “2+1”, and the third year is a player option. Whether this contract renewal model will become a typical signing of big coffee stars in the next few years is worth continuing to observe.

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