Original title: Institution: In April, the price of newly-built residential buildings in 100 cities was 15,952 yuan/square meter, an increase of 4.05%
It was learned from the “April Market Situation and Corporate Research Results Sharing Meeting” of the Zhongzhi Research Institute that the Zhongzhi Research Institutereal estateA summary of the market situation shows that in terms of price, overall, the national newHouse priceThe overall situation is stable, and the prices of second-hand housing are generally stable and rising. According to the Baicheng Price Index, in the first quarter, the price of newly built residential buildings in Baicheng increased by 0.99%, an increase of 0.56 percentage points from the same period last year, but it was still at a low level in the same period in the past five years; the price of newly built residential buildings in Baicheng in April was 15,952 yuan/square meter. The month-on-month increase was 0.23% and the year-on-year increase was 4.05%. In terms of second-hand housing prices, in the first quarter, the cumulative increase was 1.55%, an increase of 0.58 percentage points from the same period last year; in April, the price of second-hand housing in Baicheng was 15,732 yuan per square meter, up 0.50% month-on-month and 3.58% year-on-year.
In terms of market supply and demand, since 2021, real estate companies have rapidly adjusted their strategies and actively marketed to grab the funds. The newly approved commercial residential areas in hot cities hit a record high in the same period in history. According to preliminary estimates, from January to April 2021, the average monthly supply area of commercial housing in 20 representative cities is about 15.57 million square meters, a year-on-year increase of nearly 40%, an increase of nearly 20% over the same period in 2019, and the absolute scale hit a record high in the same period in history. Affected by the continuous increase in supply in key cities, the transaction of commercial residential buildings in key cities has maintained a certain degree of activity. According to preliminary estimates, the average monthly transaction volume of commercial residential buildings from January to April was about 34.81 million square meters. Under the influence of last year’s low base, it increased by 75.8% year-on-year. Compared with the same period in 2019, the increase was nearly 30%, and the absolute scale reached the highest level in the past five years. , Second only to 2016 in the same period in history.
Pre-judgment of the market situation throughout the year:real estateThe market will still show the characteristics of “small adjustments in sales area and medium- and high-speed growth in investment”. on the one hand,currencyThe policy is mildly returning to normal, and the growth rate of M2 will slow down slightly compared to 2020. At the same time, the central government requires good implementation.real estateFinancial prudential management system, real estate financial supervision continues to strengthen, housingCreditThe tightening of the environment will reduce the growth space of the country’s commercial housing sales to a certain extent; on the other hand, as the economy is basically facing better, residents’ income levels are expected to be better, and new urbanization continues to advance, which is driven by rigid demand and improved demand. As a result, the overall market sales scale is still guaranteed, and the annual sales area of commercial housing is still expected to remain at a high level of around 1.7 billion square meters. On the investment side, on the one hand, the central government’s supervision efforts continue to increase, and the enterprise “three red line” pilot project is expected to continue to expand. The capital pressure on enterprises will not decrease, which will drag down investment to a certain extent; on the other hand, the return of sales funds is the enterprise An important way to ensure cash flow, the active start of new land bank and the transfer of completed funds will all support the growth of corporate investment. In addition, the supply side of the leasing market will be vigorous this year, and the construction of large-scale leasing houses will also provide support for real estate development investment. Based on various influencing factors, the investment in real estate development throughout the year will maintain a medium-to-high-speed growth.
(Source: CDC Finance)
(Editor in charge: DF150)
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