ANC Suffers Historic Low in South African Local Elections

South Africa’s ruling African National Congress stands on the brink of its worst-ever electoral performance, holding roughly 32 percent of the vote as 80 percent of ballots from Wednesday’s municipal elections were counted by Friday, The Guardian reported.

The stark decline strips the party of its historical dominance in local government, accelerating a downward trajectory that saw the ANC secure just over 40 percent at the 2024 national polls and 46 percent during the previous municipal elections in 2021. For an organization born out of the anti-apartheid struggle and led to power by Nelson Mandela in 1994, the current numbers reflect a profound fracturing of voter loyalty.

Daniel Silke, a political analyst, told AFP that the outcome is the most severe result the party could have feared. He noted that it will undermine the ANC’s ability to exert authority not just locally, but nationally, signaling that opposition parties will be hunting for further gains ahead of the 2029 general election.

Municipal Failures Drive Down Turnout and Power Shifting

Voters headed to the polls amid widespread anger over deteriorating infrastructure, including failing water and electricity supplies across the country. DW reported that wastewater treatment works in many areas remain in a critical state, discharging sewage into rivers, while recent water treatment failures in Tshwane left more than 400 residents sick.

Election Results Send SHOCKWAVES Through South African as DA Catches ANC

Despite these profound service delivery crises, the electoral commission reported that approximately 15.9 million out of 29.2 million registered voters cast ballots. Turnout climbed to an estimated 54.5 percent, marking a rebound from the pandemic-impacted 46 percent recorded in the 2021 local government elections.

While the ANC remains the largest single party nationally, the collapse of its traditional majorities means outright control of several major cities is slipping away. Political science professor Amanda Gouws told AFP that while smaller parties have long participated in local governance, historical coalitions have often proved unstable and failed to fix underlying service delivery problems.

What the Results Operations Centre reveals about SA’s trajectory
Photo: Daily Maverick

The Rise of MK Party and the Era of Complex Coalitions

Jacob Zuma’s breakaway opposition uMkhonto weSizwe party caused further political disruption. Contesting local government elections for the first time, the MK party secured just over nine percent of the national count and captured the lead in the eastern metropolitan municipality of eThekwini, which encompasses the port city of Durban in KwaZulu-Natal.

With final results anticipated by Sunday, the electoral commission dashboard points toward a scramble for power. Cities across South Africa are bracing for intricate coalition negotiations as political rivals bargain to assemble the governing majorities required to run municipal councils.

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Alexandra Hartman Editor-in-Chief

Editor-in-Chief Prize-winning journalist with over 20 years of international news experience. Alexandra leads the editorial team, ensuring every story meets the highest standards of accuracy and journalistic integrity.

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