column
![[Arima Kinen]Popularity trends over the past 10 years](https://i2.wp.com/spread-sports.jp/wp/wp-content/uploads/2022/12/1671079498-162779668.jpg?ssl=1 "221225 _ Arima Memorial _ popularity")
[Arima Kinen]Popularity trends over the past 10 years
The 67th race to be held at Nakayama Racecourse on the 25thArima Memorial(GI, turf 2500m) data for the past 10 years.
Winning the 1st place in the fan vote, it will be the 15th horse in history to win the Spring/Autumn Grand Prixtitle holderWinning the Zenso Emperor’s Award AutumnEquinoxlast year’s champion and horse of the yearEfforiawon the Queen Elizabeth CupGeraldinaChampion of Japan CVera Azul16 horses, including 7 GI horses, are scheduled to run.
Here is a hint for prediction “popularity trend” will be analyzed.
◆[Arima Kinen 2022 / Pre-run Rote]In recent years, the “royal road” is Shuten-gumi.
■ The most popular combination of 1 + 2 has been 5 times in the past
the past 10 years,most popularwon the most 6 wins[6.1.1.2]and there are only two horses outside the betting ticket, Goldship, who finished 8th in 2015, and Almond Eye, who finished 9th in 2019. Currently, he has been the most popular for two years in a row, and his credibility is high.
2nd most popularis[1.1.4.4]and has won only once, but has a multiple win rate of 60.0%, which is second only to the most popular. This has been involved in betting tickets for three years in a row, and tends to be seen with the most popular. It is difficult to handle3rd most popularWhen4th most popular. In 2019, Saturnalia, the 3rd favorite, finished 2nd, and the 4th favorite, World Premiere, finished 3rd in the same year, but has been out of the betting ticket for the last two years.
Beware of ambushes with win odds of 10 or more. Last year, Deep Bond, the 5th favorite with 20.9 times, came in second, and in 2020, Sarakia, the 11th favorite with 74.9 times, came in second, and has been involved in betting tickets for five consecutive years. Out of the last 10 years, in 9 years, win odds of 10 times or more have been involved in betting tickets. The target odds are 10.0 to 19.9 times for[1.1.1.20]20.0 to 29.9 times for[0.2.1.16]and 30.0 to 49.9 times for[0.2.0.22].
1 + 2 + 3 The most popular combination was only once in 2016. 1 + 2 popularity 5 times, 1 + 3 popularity 3 times, 2 + 3 popularity 2 times. As a betting ticket assembly, the theory is to aim for “pimp rough” against ambushers with winning odds of 10 times or more, centering on the 1st and 2nd favorites.
◆[Arima Kinen 2022 / Pre-run Rote]In recent years, the “royal road” is Shuten-gumi.
Sentence Spread editorial department
Follow me if you like this article
Stay up-to-date