Brazil: last marches before the election | While Lula will walk Paulista Avenue, Bolsonaro will drive a motorcycle caravan

From Sao Paulo

The city will be taken over today by two mobilizations that will coexist simultaneously, almost a taste of what could happen tomorrow, but with the post result of the presidential election. On one side, Bolsonaro’s motoqueroswith their leader at the head of the motorcycle – so they call the president’s favorite show here – they will meet in Campo de Bagatelle square, in the Santana neighborhood. Almost on military target hours. Starting at 7 in the morning.

Seven kilometers from that green space, where a monument to Santos Dumont’s 14 Bis plane stands, Lula’s supporters will gather at 2100 Paulista Avenue, on the corner of Augusta Street. They will join the act-walk that will be headed by the top leader of the PT, the candidate for governor of the State of São Paulo and former presidential candidate, Fernando Haddad, and the doctor who completes the formula that is given as the winner in all the polls, Geraldo Alckmin.

fear in the streets

It is feared that there could be crosses between supporters of the biker-president and the Workers’ Party and the left. The official motorized march will start at 10:22. Why at that strange time? Because the list of the military is 22. The crazy in the language of the pool. The far-right politician will be accompanied by Tarcísio de FreitasHaddad’s rival for São Paulo governor – and the astronaut Marcos Pontes, two former Bolsonaro ministers. The motorcycles, almost a parody of a military parade, will go on a tour to another plaza, Armando de Sales Oliveira, next to Ibirapuera Park, the largest green lung in this capital. Bolsonaro’s agenda will continue in Joinville starting at noon, a city in the state of Santa Catarina, where the current president will have to change transportation. São Paulo is separated from that southern city by 520 kilometers.

Less pretentious will be the walk of the PT candidates and their allies. They will coexist among the people, each face to face, as was seen in these days prior to the election, in the campaign and on foot. One of Lula’s allies, Guilherme Boulos, referent of the left in the PSOL (Socialist and Freedom Party) signed autographs and took pictures at the gates of the Cásper Líbero University, also on Paulista, on Thursday at noon. Today everyone will meet at 10 in a more central point, the scene of the great marches for and against Bolsonaro in these four years of quasi-military mandate. “They are fatos”, they say here. Or facts. And one alone is enough to confirm it. The president colonized the different levels of the State with military personnel in key positions until reaching 6,175 in 2021. The data comes from the Court of Accounts of the Union (TCU).

Trends

At 6:00 p.m., the latest IPEC survey will be published, the consulting firm whose services are distributed by the Globo group. If the trend of the previous polls continues, even with small percentage changes, everything indicates that the possibility of Lula winning in the first round will continue to be valid. In any scenario, with or without a ballotage scheduled for October 30, the uncertainty went from the elections to the consequences caused by their outcome. Voting closes tomorrow at 5:00 p.m. and the results are expected to be available at 8:00 p.m. Or at most, at 21.

Specialists in campaigns that this chronicler consulted point out that it could delay the resolution of a crucial issue in the electronic polls. If Bolsonaro’s political future ends this Sunday the 2nd or if it lasts until the end of the month. In the PT they are very confident that the first will happen. Many elements can define that instance. The number of valid votes, the percentages of abstention, but above all the fear installed in a society that perceives how the appearance of the streets has changed. Today they are much more violent. Recent political assassinations sadly prove it.

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