The ex-president Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva remains the top favorite to win in the presidential elections on October 2 in Brazilwith an advantage now of 15 percentage points over the current president, Jair Bolsonaroaccording to a survey released this Thursday.
According to the survey carried out by the Datafolha Institute, the leader of the leftist workers party (PT) obtained in the survey carried out this week 47% of the voting intention, without variation with respect to the last two surveys carried out by the same firm.
The leader of the Brazilian far-right, for his part, increased his intention to vote by three percentage points, going from 29% a month ago to the current 32%, thereby reducing the advantage of Lula from 18 to 15 points.
The voting intention poll is the first released since the official start of the candidates’ electoral campaign launched last Monday and which no longer includes names such as the deputy and digital influencer Andre Janoneswho declared his support for Lula.
Results
Compared to the poll at the end of July, they are also not the political veteran Luciano Bivar and the general Carlos Alberto dos Santos Cruzwho did not make their candidacies official, different from senator Soraya Thronicke (Uniao Brasil) and former deputy Roberto Jeffersonwho showed up at the last minute.
Jefferson, of Brazilian Labor Party (PTB), is an ally of Bolsonaro and is under house arrest accused of different crimes related to his alleged leadership of a “digital militia” created to attack the judiciary.
The survey ratified the polarization in the presidential elections, with a distancing of Lula and Bolsonaro from the rest of the candidates nominated by center parties and who try to emerge as alternatives, but remain without possibilities.
The former governor of Ceará and former senator Ciro Gomes, the third most voted candidate in the presidential elections four years ago and nominated by the Democratic Labor Party (PDT), dropped from 8% of voting intentions, which he had in July, to 7%. From now.
the senator Simone Tebetpostulated by the Brazilian Democratic Movement (MDB), the main centrist force in the country, is in fourth place with the same 2% favoritism it had in July.
Lucia Vera, black candidate of the leftist United Socialist Workers Party (PSTU), appears with 1%.
What is the situation of the other candidates?
The other seven candidates did not meet the threshold of 1% favoritism.
In a possible second round, scheduled for October 30, Lula would win with 54% of the votes, compared to 37% for Bolsonaro.
According to Datasheetwhich listened between Tuesday and Thursday of this week to 5,744 voters in 281 cities in the country, the poll has a margin of error of two percentage points up or down.
(With information from EFE)