Dell soared 30%. Everything to do with AI

2024-03-01 20:12:55

Dell Technologies stock soared nearly 30% today following the company reported a better-than-consensus fourth quarter.

Behind the numbers: The traditional computer maker showed that its server business for artificial intelligence is gaining more and more traction.

Revenue was in line with the market, with a drop of 11% to US$22.3 billion. But earnings per share were $2.20, while the consensus was $1.73.

The big highlight was the ‘infrastructure solutions’ vertical, which encompasses so-called ‘AI-optimized servers’, including PowerEdge XE9680, the product flagship of the company.

Dell said the “strong momentum of AI-optimized servers continues, with orders increasing by nearly 40% sequentially and the backlog nearly doubling, ending the fiscal year at $2.9 billion.”

O pipeline of potential orders also increased brutally, reaching “multiple times the size of the backlog. “These are all signs that support our optimistic view of the AI ​​server market and show that Dell is a clear leader in the $72 billion AI hardware and services market today and is expected to grow 20% annually. reaching $152 billion by 2027,” Morgan Stanley wrote.

“At the same time, we believe the company’s guidance of revenue of $93 billion in 2025 and earnings per share of $7.50 are conservative. Our new estimate for 2025 is revenue 3% above guidance and profit 6% higher.”

Servers for AI EBITDA margin also expanded, and Dell said it saw a broader, less concentrated order base, with new SMB and enterpriseand orders further divided into different SKUs.

The company also said that demand for AI servers continues to outpace supply, a dynamic the company believes is likely to continue this year.

“Looking ahead, we still believe the AI ​​server opportunity is in its early days, especially for a company more focused on enterprise like Dell,” wrote Morgan Stanley.

The bank said it now expects AI server revenue of $8 billion in 2025, compared with a previous estimate of $3.9 billion.

“This is equivalent to backlog and the pipeline Dell’s current investment, which we believe is conservative, with each US$2 billion of additional revenue leading to a US$0.20 upside in earnings per share.”

This morning, Morgan Stanley increased its target price for the stock to US$128 – but with today’s rise, the stock is now trading at around US$122, with the company worth US$87 billion in New York.

After the result, eight other analysis houses also raised their target prices for the stock.



Pedro Arbex




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