U.S. anti-China politicians have called for curbs on China’s solar industry after the Biden administration took action last week for the first time against five Chinese companies on the grounds of helping Russia’s military industry. If it includes tough sanctions against China on semiconductor chips, as well as eyeing TikTok, China and the United States can generally decouple completely, but the United States has no such plan.
“Democracy is in the mouth, sanctions are in hand”, this is the US countermeasure against China. All the announced blacklist and sanctions actions are not separated from the US’s excuse: China is an authoritarian regime, so it cannot allow it to have technological advantages, and there are human rights issues . The New York Times reported: “In trying to develop a strategy toward China, U.S. officials are not only looking at the traditional military uses of technology, but also considering Chinese companies building surveillance countries or building security infrastructure, as well as using forced labor camps to suppress Xinjiang, Tibet, and China. “As China has become more aggressive, more militant, and more active in the technology sector, managing relations with China through export controls has changed,” the paper quoted a Commerce Department official as saying. more and more important.”
The point is that the U.S. maintains its technological advantage over China, so that “China cannot use technology to build its capabilities against its neighbors.”
Speak softly and carry a big stick, you will go far, this is the famous saying of the 25th President of the United States (1901-1909) Roosevelt Sr. Today, the United States is unable to replicate the comprehensive national strength and international situation that has risen in the last century. The only way to change the words “warm words and big sticks” can be changed to “democracy in the mouth and sanctions in hand”. Can it “go far”? Unknown, the United States hopes to continue to selectively do business with China that is beneficial to the U.S. economy on the one hand, and on the other hand, block all technologies and technological products that can enhance China’s strength. If it is contradictory, the United States needs a decent reason to go. Constraining China, so it was changed to “democracy in the mouth”. However, sanctions are not equal to a big stick. Some commentators believe that the United States is “rebounding darts”, and the combination of sanctions punched is to bounce back on itself, and other American followers are required. victimized.
In the past two years, in order to prevent China from obtaining enough chips and semiconductors to develop high-tech industries, the United States has asked Japan, South Korea, and Taiwan, the largest supplier of chips, to join the embargo on China. This has disrupted the global supply and demand market and destroyed semiconductors. In the chip supply chain, the outbreak of the new crown pandemic in 2020, coupled with the tense international political situation, will not play out according to the script of the United States.
Statistics from market institutions show that global computer and mobile phone shipments may experience negative growth this year. Computer shipments are expected to drop by up to 10% year-on-year, and mobile phone shipments are expected to drop by more than 7% year-on-year. Affected by the data from the National Bureau of Statistics of Korea, the national chip inventory in May increased by more than 53% compared with the same period of the previous year, the largest increase in more than four years, and the chip inventory has continued to show an increasing trend since October last year. No one buys semiconductor products, and there is a ban on sales to China. South Korea is miserable, and TSMC is even more difficult. It was originally an “emperor’s daughter” that was favored by investors, and its stock price has dropped by nearly half from this year’s high.
Lower-end semiconductor products such as automotive chips have become the backbone of the market. China has a production capacity advantage in this field, but the United States is using its brains to prohibit China’s development in this area.
More than a hundred years ago, the old Roosevelt advocated that the United States must maintain order in the Western Hemisphere. If countries in South America and North America were found to threaten the United States, the United States would directly intervene militarily. The U.S. Navy is a big stick, but today the U.S. has come to the Asia-Pacific region to deter China’s spheres of influence in the Taiwan Strait, the South China Sea, and the East China Sea at the same time. I’m afraid it will not be able to do it. Half of the 11 U.S. aircraft carriers are old, and the U.S. has to pay for repairs. Where is the money? It is not yet in the Chinese market, so the United States cannot do without China and cannot decouple. What should we do? This really got me.