A survey by the Ipec institute shows that Lula da Silva has 50% of the support for the second round of the presidential elections in Brazil, while Jair Bolsonaro has 43%, considering the undecided.
Former President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva has 50% of the intention to vote and President Jair Bolsonaro 43%, according to a survey released this Monday, ahead of the second round of the presidential elections in Brazil, scheduled for the next day 30.
The institute survey ipec shows the candidates two points closer than in a survey carried out by the same company a week ago, which maintains the projection of Lula’s victory in the ballot.
If only valid votes are taken into account, discarding blank and invalid votes, the progressive leader would obtain 54% of the votes, compared to 46% that his rival would receive.
In the first round of the presidential elections, held on October 2, former President Lula (2003-2010) was the most voted candidate, with 48.4% of the votes, and the current president seconded him with 43.2%. .
As none of the candidates obtained more than half of the valid votes, they will have to contest the second round.
The data from the Ipec survey is more favorable to Lula than the latest survey by the Datafolha company, which places the leader of the Workers’ Party with 49% of the intention to vote and Bolsonaro with 44%.
The polling firms have been widely questioned in Brazil for not having detected the strength of Bolsonaro and his allies in the first round of the elections.
The main polls predicted Lula’s victory and Bolsonaro’s second place, but calculated that the difference between the two would be between 10 and 15 percentage points.
Following the Oct. 2 elections, several Bolsonaro allies have called for an investigation of the poll failures and have also suggested that the far-right leader’s supporters not respond to polling firms.
The Ipec survey has a margin of error of two percentage points and was prepared with 3,008 interviews conducted between last Saturday and this Monday in 184 municipalities throughout Brazil.
For this reason, part of the interviewees participated in the study after the debate held on Sunday night between Bolsonaro and Lula, which is the first face-to-face meeting prior to the second round.