2023-05-06 00:40:05
In the next eight days, a third of the provinces will define their new local governments: on Sunday there will be a triple electoral day, with elections in La Rioja, Misiones and Jujuy, and on Sunday the 14th it will be the turn of Tucumán, La Pampa, San Juan, Tierra del Fuego and Salta. Although Peronism awaits the election in La Rioja with optimism, and has good expectations for the five elections next week, it is also true that in all the provinces the PJ candidates got involved in local agendas, far from the Casa Rosada and the figure of Alberto Fernández.
No surprises are expected for Sunday’s elections. In Jujuy, more than half a million voters are empowered to vote for the successor in the governorship of Gerardo Morales, the radical who, after two management periods and unable by the local Constitution to go for the re-re, wants to fight the candidacy President of Together for Change. A good performance of Jujuy’s ruling party will strengthen Morales in the face of negotiations in JxC, for the definition of the formulas for the PASO in August.
There are six electoral fronts that will fight for the governorship. 24 provincial deputies, 28 mayors, councilors, members of municipal commissions and 48 constituents will also be elected.
Morales will not be on the ballot this time as a candidate for governor or senator, as has been the case in the last decade, but he does appear as the head of the list of conventional constituents for the Frente Cambia Jujuy. To succeed him in the governorship, Morales promotes his Minister of Finance, Carlos Sadir.
Peronism is divided to the election. The Justicialista Front nominates the provincial deputy and president of the local PJ, Rubén Rivarola, as governor, while the Unity Front for Jujuy takes the provincial deputy Juan Cardozo Traillou. The two fronts coincide in referencing themselves at the national level with the Frente de Todos.
The list of the Left Front and Workers Unity (FIT-U) is headed by the national deputy Alejandro Vilca as a candidate for governor; the Jujuy Tiene Futuro Front, a sector of local Peronism, presents former university rector Rodolfo Tecchi; the VIA + Libertarios Front goes with Cecilia García Casasco and Política Obrera, to Iñaki Aldasoro.
Almost a million voters are empowered to vote for a new governor, 73 mayors and 20 provincial deputies. The local political-electoral scene has been stable for twenty years now in Misiones, where the Concord Renovation Front governs, a coalition that emerged in 2003, with Peronist and radical groups, referenced in Carlos Rovira.
The ruling party seeks the return of Hugo Passalacqua to the governorship, while Governor Oscar Herrera Ahuad, constitutionally barred from re-election, heads the list of provincial deputies.
Together for Change (JxC) promotes the radical Martín Arjol and Natalia Döpler, from PRO. The Fuerza de Todos Front, in which the missionary Kirchnerism and the Agrarian and Social Party converge, has Isaac Lenguaza and Santiago Mansilla (vice vice) on the ticket. The Partido Obrero is going with Virginia Villanueva, an environmental activist, as a candidate governor.
In La Rioja, the Frente de Todos bets on the re-election of the Peronist Ricardo Quintela. The governor was one of the few candidates who touched national discussion during the campaign: last week, in an act, he raised Wado de Pedro’s arm and said that the Minister of the Interior, for his work with the provinces, won the right to be a presidential candidate for the Frente de Todos.
Together for Change presents the national deputy Felipe Álvarez as a candidate for governor, along with the radical Guillermo Galván as vice. To close the campaign, Alvarez summoned Horacio Rodríguez Larreta, one of the JxC presidential candidates, for the campaign closing ceremony. “Even with work, the people of La Rioja do not have enough to eat. It is a province stopped in time that does not generate work, where public salaries are starvation”, said the Buenos Aires head of government. “Whoever votes for Menem, votes for Quintela,” defined the PRO presidential candidate.
La Libertad Avanza will also compete, with Martín Menem as candidate for governor; Liberal Force with Cristian Corzo; Left Front with Carolina Goycochea and La Rioja Front with Mario Olmedo.
The electoral calendar in the provinces started in Río Negro and Neuquén, on April 16. In the first, the ruling party prevailed with the return of Alberto Weretilneck (whom La Cámpora supported) to the governorship. In Neuquén, the triumph of Rolando Figueroa was surprising, with detachment from the Neuquén Popular Movement, a party displaced from the government after 60 years.
The consultant Gustavo Córdoba, in a chat with this medium, alluded to the distance taken by the provincial candidates from national politics: “The nationalization of a provincial election is not effective, since the agendas and leadership are different. There is only mutual influence when the national and provincial elections coincide, ”he assessed.
Córdoba believes that on Sunday the three ruling parties “are going to do well, although to different degrees. The missionary, for example, is the one who possibly wins by the greatest difference and getting the highest percentage. Passalacqua is likely to achieve a percentage above 60%. In the case of Jujuy, the provincial election can be read in a national key, since Morales, being president of a national party, can legitimize his presidential aspirations after that victory. His candidate is going to win well, with an election of more than 40% and he has the entire opposition fragmented, fighting in second place a Peronist list with one from the left, ”reviewed the consultant.
Regarding La Rioja, Córdoba understands that the Peronist Quintela is a favourite, but clarified: “it has happened in this last stretch of the campaign that Quintela fell below 40 points. And this endangers the difference, the distance that he had long ago. In second place, we have Felipe Álvarez, who can approach Quintela’s positions in the final sprint. In the case of Martín Menem, Milei’s candidate, it will be a great choice, but I have my doubts that he can withstand, let’s say, the pressure of an eventual polarization between the first two ”.
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