Apostolos Pistolas, about 2.5 months before the European elections, answers all the questions of “PtD”. He is a strategy consultant, founder of Mastermind Analytics. He has a PhD in voter behavior. His precise capacity is an analyst of electoral behavior.
He has designed the strategic communication for dozens of businesses in various industries in the United Kingdom.
We asked him about almost everything. And for almost everyone. And he answered directly and clearly.
-Will Andreas Loverdos get 3% to enter the European Parliament?
Mr. Loverdos addresses two electoral groups. To those dissatisfied with ND and PASOK. The fact that the party is very young does not help him.
-From which pool will he get the most votes? From the green, from the blue or from the undecided?
It’s hard to say, as it’s most likely small percentages from each tank.
– Do you think that Mr. Loverdos is closer, politically, to ND or PASOK?
As it is, I think it is closer to the ND than the current PASOK.
– How much do you estimate, Mr. Pistola, that his party will endure?
I think it is a party structured purely for the coming European elections.
– So, after the European elections, if he is not elected, do you think he will be integrated into ND?
I think that after the elections he will go home if he is not elected!
– Will Alexis Haritsis catch the 3%?
It is marginal and will also depend on participation in the elections.
-His tank will be mostly disaffected of SYRIZA?
To a very significant extent. It is the pre-Kasselakis SYRIZA.
– Do you think Stefanos Kasselakis will win votes because of his sexual preference or will he lose?
He will certainly not lose votes as voters who have a problem with a political leader being gay were not in SYRIZA. Whether he wins remains to be seen as the prime minister passed the same-sex marriage law.
-Will the sugar daddies cost Dimitris Koutsoubas or will he be forgotten until the European elections?
I think it will be forgotten.
-What is more likely to vote for a disappointed or dissatisfied SYRIZA? KKE, New Left or something else?
It depends on his psychographic profile and basic voting criteria. From KKE to Hellenic Solution.
– Those disappointed by Mitsotakis, such as for example a portion of faithful Christians who did not and will not digest the same-sex marriage law, what are they more likely to vote for?
If the bill for same-sex couples touches their value code and at the same time they are unhappy about other issues (eg punctuality), then they will either abstain or choose a more conservative party.
– Do you agree with the opinion that PASOK is now closer to ND?
No, PASOK has made a left turn lately with the aim of a post-election union with the rest of the centre-left parties.
-In other words, do you see on the horizon Kasselakis, Androulakis and Charitsi sitting at the same table, or do you mean something else, talking about a center-left merger?
I see Androulakis, or his successor, sitting at the same table as Haritsi. I believe that Kasselakis will follow an independent path.
– Well, speaking of a successor, do you think that if PASOK does not rise above 15-17%, the question of Androulaki will be raised? Or maybe if a 2nd party comes in, will any dissatisfaction with the again low rate be covered?
The lower the percentage, the greater the challenge. Second place without the prospect of power does not give anything important.
-If the European elections were next Sunday, what percentage would Kasselakis get?
Closer to 12%, according to the polls
-On June 9, how much will it take?
Hard to say, as the data in SYRIZA can change at any time.
-Who or what could dethrone him from his position? Tell me a name…
Nikos Pappas!
– Will the tough Samaritans vote for Mitsotakis, do you think, or will many of them cast their votes elsewhere?
The Samaritans are right-wing, are in the ND and will vote ND.
-Do you think it is likely or unlikely that Velopoulos will reach 10%?
It is very possible.
– What ceiling does Niki have?
I believe that with today’s data it can reach 5%.
– Do you think that Kyriakos Mitsotakis has such a difference from his “persecutors” because he is a good prime minister or because many people think that there is no one else to govern?
Combination of both.
– Do you think that Alexis Tsipras is politically “burnt” paper or will one day come back stronger?
After his last moves, the road to return is difficult…
-What is a pure-blood far-right most likely to vote for in the European elections?
Spartans, abstention or extra-parliamentary far-right party.
-To what extent will the votes of emigrants differentiate the result of the European elections?
It depends on participation. It seems, for the time being, that it will not be large, so if the same rate of registrations continues, the percentages will not differ.
-Is it true that the majority of emigrants are closer to the SW or is it a myth?
It depends on the expats. In USA and Australia they are more conservative than in Europe.
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