The United States has accelerated its strategic shift towards China. (Bloomberg)
2022/05/11 05:30
[Compiled by Sun Yuqing/Comprehensive Report]The Ukraine-Russian War has caused a serious damage to Russia. Bloomberg pointed out on the 10th that senior aides of US President Biden are increasingly convinced that if the Ukraine crisis prompts Europe to improve its self-defense capabilities, the United States may gain unexpected advantages from it , more able to exert its hands and feet in Asia, including moving troops and weapons, and deepening economic and political relations with Indo-Pacific countries, more opportunities to accelerate the long-term strategy of confronting China.
Promoting Europe to improve its self-defense capabilities
Several U.S. officials and Republican and Democratic lawmakers have warned that China is closely watching the U.S. and its allies’ responses to Russia’s aggression against Ukraine, drawing possible lessons for the tensions across the Taiwan Strait. Officials believe that the human damage to Russia caused by the Ukrainian-Russian war, as well as a series of international sanctions, will make Russia stumble in the next few years; coupled with European countries have increased defense spending, the United States will have more leeway to speed up its countermeasures. China’s strategic turn.
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Long before the Ukraine-Russia war, the Biden administration continued to transfer resources and capabilities to Asia, including expanding the Quadrilateral Security Dialogue (QUAD) cooperation between the United States, Japan, India, and Australia, and the conclusion of the “Australia-UK-US Tripartite Security Partnership” ( AUKUS) alliance to share nuclear submarine technology. Richard Fontaine, executive director of the Center for a New American Security (CNAS), a Washington think tank, also believes that the Ukrainian-Russian war is a “short-term long-term strategy” for the United States.
The United States is more able to exert its hands and feet in Asia
Chinese officials are skeptical that the Ukrainian-Russian war will help the United States turn to Asia, saying that once Germany increases military spending and Russia’s military strength weakens, it may instead promote what French President Emmanuel Macron calls “(European) strategic autonomy,” which will bring European and The United States has parted ways on the China issue. Other U.S. officials believe that the possibility of the U.S. “sacrifice Asia and overweight Europe” under the Ukraine crisis cannot be ruled out, depending on the outcome of the war.
In addition, the attention of U.S. cabinet officials and national security agencies is focused on Ukraine in the short term, and another foreign crisis or terrorist attack may soon occur, forcing the United States to again “distract” from Asian affairs. In fact, the Biden administration originally intended to announce its “China policy” at the end of last year, but there is still no news so far; Secretary of State Blinken was expected to explain this a few days ago, but it was also cancelled due to the diagnosis of Wuhan pneumonia, and no new date has been announced yet.
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