2023-10-20 13:08:19
The electoral ban after a long campaign at an extremely complicated time in the country. This choice It is comparable, at an uncertainty level, with that of 2003 when Néstor Kirchner won. But a scenario like this, where there are three candidates with real chances, is something that does not have much precedent, commented Nuria Am at the beginning of Modo Fontevecchiaon Net TV, Radio Perfil (AM 1190) and Radio Amadeus (FM 91.1) on Friday, October 20.
Likewise, the host of the program said that at the time Carlos Menem also generated expectations and doubts when he was elected, but he had experience in the governorship of La Rioja. Despite that, the first two years of his administration became difficult until he found the Convertibility Law with Domingo Cavallo.
Survey: 50% of Argentines would accept “a non-democratic government if it solves the problems”
In turn, columnist Alejandro Gomel (AG) explained that the polls themselves are under scrutiny due to their poor previous forecast in the PASO, to the point that many consultancies decided not to publish directly in recent weeks. In off many of the pollsters warn: “be careful with what is off the radar,” highlighting the unpredictability of this situation policy.
The parity is so close that it is not known for sure whether there will be a runoff or not, whether adding more than 45% of the votes or getting more than 10% difference, regardless of who the two candidates are who decide the same in November.
Without a political apparatus: the path of Javier Milei
Nuria Am explained that Javier Milei broke the stage by not having the support of any traditional political party behind, without governors and with few representatives in Congress. His intention was always to represent the anti-system vote, thus reaching a mostly young audience.
He always highlighted his disruptive proposals to later see how others echoed the agenda that he himself set. A clear example was given this week with the request of his deputy Lilia Lemoine so that men can renounce their paternity and upholding that “women have the privilege of killing their children.”
On Sunday, can Argentina consecrate Milei president?
This agenda setting by the libertarian candidate made some of his competitors “tangled” and became even more complicated. Furthermore, at the close of his campaign it is observed that his speech and that of his allies aims directly at its hardest core of voters.
Sergio Massa’s journey in a complex situation
Alejandro Gomel provided the panorama of Sergio Massa, who spent the entire campaign trying to distance himself from the current government, promising that starting in December history will turn around and oblivious to his participation as ministeror Economy of the country. And despite having close to 45% poverty and year-on-year inflation of 130%, he continued to be a competitive candidate.
The massive closure, together with Axel Kicillof, was on October 17 at the Arsenal field, but yesterday Massa decided to formally close together with the workers in a factory. “On Sunday we decide if we love our flag or not,” said the Unión por la Patria candidate.
Patricia Bullrich and a path marked by inmates
For his part, journalist Claudio Mardones (CM) explained that Patricia Bullrich, in her closing in Lomas de Zamora, achieved what cost her so much in the Together for Change campaign: a photo of unity with Mauricio Macri, Diego Santilli, Jorge Macri, Rodríguez Larreta and even the radical Ernesto Sanz.
The presidential race in Argentina: who will lead the change?
Precisely, the former Minister of Security became difficult to find a place behind the idea of “going for change”, which Milei appropriated from the discursive point of view. Only after the second presidential debate did he settle between the polarization between Milei and Massa, betting, for example, that Larreta would be his chief of staff in an eventual government.
What can you expect on Sunday and, above all, the day after?
AG: The general mood that is perceived in society is to choose the least bad, not to choose but to opt. There is also the issue that there are some candidates who say that you have to vote with anger and others who praise hope as a driving force. It is worth mentioning that other unexpected topics that were touched upon at the end of the campaign were the intersection with the Vatican, women’s rights and the denialism of the last Dictatorship.
Precisely to alleviate these difficulties, the Archbishop of the City, Jorge García Cuerva, expressed: ”The enormous difficulties of our Argentina are wounds more than cracks, and precisely for this reason they give me hope that they can be closed. And, for the Christians, We must not leave the Gospel at the door of the dark room”.
A representative of Javier Milei asked to “suspend relations with the Vatican”
CM: One of the questions we should ask ourselves is how the ruling party will face “the day after” and, as for Together for Change, what will happen with a Macri who never made negative publicity against Milei. At the same time, there is doubt about what the internal coexistence in the opposition coalition will be like if there is a result that does not meet expectations or brings them, once again, closer to the specter of third place.
THAT: Clearly, at the moment there are many doubts such as, for example, what will happen to the markets, whether the current president will decide to meet with the elected candidate or not and where the dollar will skyrocket. We will know all this in just three days.
TO JL
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