If Belgians voted in the French presidential election, a majority would choose Emmanuel Macron in the first round. 54% of Belgians who make a choice would vote for the outgoing president on April 10, if they had the right to vote among our neighbours. This is the lesson of our RTLINFO / Ipsos survey carried out this Thursday, March 30 with 1635 people, a representative sample of the population.
On April 10 and 24, our French neighbors will vote to elect the future President of their Republic. We have dedicated a file to it, with our video analyses: find them on this page.
To know the position of Belgians in relation to this election, we commissioned a poll: which candidate would you vote for in France?
The answer is quite clear among the 1,635 respondents who make a choice, and confirms the French polls which give Emmanuel Macron the clear winner. He would be in the second round against Marine Le Pen with a very comfortable lead:
- 54% of Belgians who vote would vote for Macron in the first round,
- 12% would rather opt for Marine Le Pen,
- 8% for Anne Hidalgo, just ahead of Eric Zemmour (8%)
- and Jean-Luc Melenchon (6%).
Note that 12% of respondents would abstain and 40% said they were undecided when presented with the list of 12 candidates in the running.
Differences between regions
Emmanuel Macron is the undisputed leader in the three regions of the Kingdom, but for the rest of the podium, there are some differences between Flemings, Walloons and Brussels residents: Macron, Le Pen and Zemmour would make up the Walloon podium. Macron, Zemmour, Melenchon, in Brussels. And Macron, Le Pen and… Hidalgo in Flanders. The socialist candidate is lagging far behind in the polls in France but would be surprisingly well placed in the north of the country here.
In the candidates that the Belgians are abandoning, the “small” formats like Jean Lassalle, Nathalie Arthaud or Nicolas Dupont Aignant (who all collect less than one percent of the votes cast by those polled). Cruel disaffection also of Belgians for the muse of the party “Les Républicains”, Valérie Pécresse, also credited with barely 1% of the votes in our survey of Belgians.
Details and analyzes in the RTL info 7 p.m.
Carrying out the survey
The survey was conducted online on Thursday March 30 with 1,635 people, a representative sample of the Belgian population, by the Ipsos institute for RTL INFO. Margin of error: about 2.4%.