2023-06-25 00:16:04
[서울파이낸스 나민수 기자] Over the past two months, the proportion of rising apartment sales across the country has increased compared to the previous two months. In particular, the average sale price of apartments in Seoul, where demand for standby purchases moved, rose in more than 6.6 out of 10 housing types traded in May and June.
On the 25th, of the 50,576 apartment transactions (excluding direct transactions and contract cancellation) of real estate R114 nationwide in the last two months of May and June, 10,000 housing types for which more than one transaction was concluded in the same complex and same area in March and April. As a result of comparing the average selling price of 6018 cases, it was found that the selling price increased by 57.2%.
This is a slight increase from 56.9% of the housing type whose sales price increased in March-April compared to the transaction price in January-February using the same method as before.
In March-April, Sejong City (74.2%) showed a remarkable rise in sales prices, while in May-June, Seoul recorded the highest share of rising housing types nationwide with 66.5%. The share of the increase in apartment sales in Seoul in March and April was 63.6%, but it increased by 2.9 percentage points (p) in May and June.
In comparison, the number of housing types whose average price fell decreased from 33.0% to 30.7%, and the number of housing types sold at the same price decreased from 3.4% to 2.7%. In Gwanak-gu, the proportion of rising housing types accounted for 82%, the highest in Seoul. In March-April, it was 52%, only half, but in May-June, it increased by more than 30%p, and the upward trend spread. In addition, Gwangjin-gu increased from 38% to 79%, and the proportion of housing types increased rapidly, Gangnam-gu increased from 65% in March to April to 72% in May and June, and Yongsan-gu increased from 56% to 77%. Mapo-gu, which recently increased inflow from outside the country, increased from 63% to 76%, and Yeongdeungpo-gu from 61% to 79%, respectively.
In comparison, Gangdong-gu, which had 77% of the rising housing type in March and April, slightly decreased to 70% in May and June, Seocho-gu from 64% to 56%, and Nowon-gu from 57% to 51%.
In Gyeonggi-do and Incheon, the share of rising housing types in May and June was 62.2% and 57.2%, respectively, down from March and April (62.8% and 59.3%, respectively).
In the provinces, Sejong City’s share of increase in May-June was 66.0%, down from March-April (74.2%), but it was still the highest among regional metropolitan cities, followed by Daejeon (53.7% → 56.7%) and Gwangju Metropolitan City (47.8% → 52.7%), Gyeongbuk (51.4% → 54.5%), and Daegu Metropolitan City (55.9% → 56.5%) showed a slight increase in the proportion of upward trading.
However, experts point out that it is unknown whether such rising transactions will continue to increase in the second half. This is because there are many places in the Seoul apartment sales market that show a temporary slowdown in the upward trend of asking prices after the sudden sale disappeared this month, and a decrease in buying power.
In fact, 58.01㎡ dedicated to Sanggye Jugong Complex 6 was traded for up to 687 million won (14th floor) in April, but at the end of May, the 10th floor was sold for 650 million won, and in the middle of this month, the 7th floor was sold for 625 million won. . On the 14th of this month, the 84.97㎡ exclusive for Jamsil Els, which had a reported price of 2.35 billion won, is now known to be on sale for 2.3 billion won, about 50 million won lower than this.
The pace of increase in trading volume has also slowed somewhat. According to the Seoul Real Estate Information Plaza, the number of apartment transaction reports in Seoul in May totaled 3269 as of the 24th, surpassing the April transaction volume (3191), the highest in a year and nine months since August 2021 (4065). Looking at the number of daily reports, the rate of increase has slowed as the volume of contracts in May, which had been reported more than 100 to 150 every day until the middle of this month, decreased to less than 30 to 50 cases a day after the middle of the month.
The number of contracts in June has also stood at only 1,225 so far, so if this pace continues, the total transaction volume in June is likely to be similar to that in May or even decrease.
An industry expert said, “As commercial banks’ lending rates, which have recently started to rise again, are likely to rise until the third quarter, the apartment market will remain in a lull for the time being.” It’s not easy to gain momentum in the second half because of things like that.”
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