The riots that shook the country were quelled after the intervention of Russian troops. If a certain calm seems to have returned, communications remain cut and the toll of violence remains difficult to quantify.
At least 164 dead, including 103 in Almaty, the country’s economic capital: the toll of a week of demonstrations and repression in Kazakhstan is much heavier than previously announced. Again on Saturday, the authorities reported 26 “armed criminals»Killed and more than a thousand wounded as well as 16 killed and more than 1,300 wounded among the police. And these are still official figures, difficult to verify in the totally locked down country. Internet cut, no foreign correspondent on the ground, the only sources of information since the outbreak of an unprecedented protest on January 2 are Kazakhstani or Russians.
Vladimir Poutine “especially thanked”
“Today, the situation is stabilized in all regions”, Interior Minister Erlan Turgumbayev said, adding however that “The counterterrorism operation continues to restore order in the country”. Nearly 6,000 people have been arrested and 125 inquiries into the riots opened, the Interior Ministry also said. The repression of the protest that began in the country after the increase in gas prices before spreading to Almaty and in all the major cities, has become more and more ferocious in recent days. Refusing any dialogue with the demonstrators, President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev said on Friday that he was authorizing his forces to “shoot to kill“. The Kazakh head of state felt strengthened after appealing to Moscow to help him put down the protest at home. The prompt intervention of Russian troops on the ground was decisive in enabling him to impose his power. Sending a “collective peacekeeping force to protect state and military installations» and assisting the Kazakh law enforcement agencies was done within the framework of the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO) which brings together Russia and five former allied Soviet republics. This is the first action of the CSTO since its creation twenty years ago.
President Tokayev made a point of “Thank especially” Vladimir Poutine during a telephone conversation, Saturday, the Kremlin said. This call for armed support from Russia carries internal and external political implications for Kazakhstan. Because, in addition to social causes, the protest targeted the figure of former President Nursultan Nazarbayev, who reigned with an iron fist over Kazakhstan from 1989 to 2019 before giving way to Tokayev. But he remained influential on the scene at the head of a leadership of the National Security Council, from which he has just been dismissed. The fate of this former potentate remains uncertain, as does his role in the recent unrest. Signs point to an internal power struggle. The arrest for “treason“By the former head of the national security agency Kajymkanouli Massimov, sacked after the riots, is the main indicator. This former Prime Minister is close to Nazarbayev. If the latter came out of his silence to call on the population to support the government, Tokayev has meanwhile placed himself under the protection of another, much more powerful autocrat: Vladimir Poutine.
Diversify your alliances
On the strategic level, internal disturbances in Kazakhstan send the country back into the fold of Russia while it was trying to diversify its alliances, in particular by getting closer to Turkey and China as well as to the West. The United States estimated that it would be “very difficult” for Kazakhstan to obtain the departure of the Russian military, a criticism which Moscow on Saturday called “Rude”. On the eve of the crucial meeting in Geneva between Americans and Russians to talk about Ukraine and Europe, Moscow has ruled out any discussion on Kazakhstan. “This question does not concern them at all”, swept Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Sergei Riabkov on Sunday.
ALSO ON MSN – Kazakhstan: Russian CSTO forces “have completed their deployment”
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