Jae-myung Lee 45.8% vs Hyung-sun Yoon 49.5%… The first reversal within the margin of error

At the Archery Gymnasium in Gyeyang-gu, Incheon, on the 18th, one day before the official election campaign for the June 1st nationwide local elections, officials from the National Election Commission check the posters of Democratic Party candidate Lee Jae-myung and People’s Power candidate Yoon Hyung-sun, who are running for Gyeyang-eul, Incheon. 2022.5.18/News 1

The results of a public opinion poll on the 21st showed that Lee Jae-myung, the Democratic Party’s Gyeyang-eul National Assembly candidate, was defeated by Yoon Hyeong-seon, the People’s Power candidate, within the margin of error. Although it is within the margin of error, this is the first time that candidate Yoon has come out ahead of candidate Lee.

According to the results of a poll conducted by STI, an opinion polling company, on 880 men and women over the age of 18 living in the Gyeyang constituency for two days from the 19th to the 20th, the approval rating of Candidate Lee recorded 45.8% and Candidate Yoon recorded 49.5%. . The difference in the approval rating was 3.7 percentage points (p), within the error range (±3.3 percentage points).

When asked whether they would continue to support the candidate they supported until the election day, 92.9% answered that they would continue to support the candidate. 6.1% answered ‘can change’ and 1.1% answered ‘don’t know’.

93.3% of Lee’s supporters and 92.4% of Yoon’s supporters said they would continue to support them.

When asked about their chances of winning, 49.8% chose Lee and 45.9% chose Yoon.

The approval rating of the Incheon mayor candidate also showed a close match within the margin of error. Democratic Party candidate Park Nam-chun’s approval rating was 41.1%, and People’s Power candidate Yoo Jeong-bok’s approval rating was 47.0%. It was followed by Lee Jeong-mi of the Justice Party with 4.3 percent and Kim Han-byeol of the Basic Income Party with 2.0 percent.

This poll was conducted using an automated phone virtual number answering method, and the response rate was 6.4%. The sampling error is ±3.3%p at the 95% confidence level. For more information, visit the website of the National Election Opinion Survey Deliberation Committee.

(Seoul = News 1)

Leave a Comment

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.