Prof. Dr. Yong Phuworawan, Head of the Center specializes in virology. Clinic, Department of Pediatrics Faculty of Medicine Chulalongkorn University posted a Facebook post indicating that the Covid-19 outbreak is likely to decrease. in the same pattern as the 2009 influenza epidemic.
Yong Phuworawan
Royal Graduate
Center of Specialization in Clinical Virology Faculty of Medicine Chulalongkorn University
Covid 19 is entering the disease of the season. The outbreak will now be in the same format as the flu epidemic. If we look at the influenza epidemic that is spreading a lot around the world. Called the 2009 swine flu epidemic that year. will peak in July-August. and then decreases after September until December After that there will be another outbreak. But this outbreak Not as much as in the rainy season or during the student’s first semester. When students take a break from the semester, the epidemic subsides. And went to the outbreak again after the opening of semester 2, about 1 month or from the beginning of January and will go down in December And the next year will meet again in the next rainy season.
The pattern of the Covid-19 outbreak after the easing of measures school is open The pattern is no different from the 2009 influenza epidemic.
From the middle of this month onwards Students will begin the semester break. The outbreak will begin to decline gradually. until the end of the year And when entering the winter, there will be another outbreak.
Look at the figure shown here to see the pattern of the 2009 influenza epidemic in 2009.