[Nakayama Kinen / Data Strategy-Part 1]One of the most popular walls is the wall of “0% quorum”.

This week at Nakayama RacecourseNakayama Kinen(Turf 1800m) will be held.

It is a battle with a strong tendency to be disturbed because it will be enforced in the opening week on a course with a habit. Escape and good running of the leading horse are conspicuous, and it can be said that leg quality is an important factor.

In this article, we will unravel the leading horses and the candidate horses based on the keywords that emerged from the data analysis of the past 10 years.

◆[Nakayama Kinen 2022 Forecast / Overtake Diagnosis]”B” evaluation dissatisfied with top popularity “Not perfect”

[Nakayama Kinen / Overtake Diagnosis]”B” evaluation dissatisfied with the top popularity “It can not be said that the gear is incomplete”

■ “Betting ticket rate 77.7%” data to support Danon The Kid

go forwardMile CSIs a good run to raise the signal of the resurrection with 3rd place. It proved a part of the potential to win the Kikuka-sho 1st and 2nd horses (title holder, orthoclase) at the age of two.Danon the Kidis. This time, instead of 1800m after a long time, there are many problems with a large outer frame, but there is a tailwind in terms of data.

・ A 4-year-old horse with a history of GI consecutive battles within 3rd place on the 4th corner[2-2-3-2]

Converted to the betting ticket rate, it is 77.7%. The 3 popular 1st Nuovo Record, 6 popular 2nd Lucky Lilac, and 5th popular 2nd Aerolithe, which have already accumulated achievements, also fall under this category and can be said to be highly reliable data. I want to make a good start to the leap in 2022.

◆[Nakayama Kinen 2022 / Frame order]Danon The Kid, who is popular with Pansarassa, starts from the large outer frame in the “good frame” with the most 3 wins.

[Nakayama Kinen / Frame order]Danon The Kid, who is popular with Pansarassa, starts from the large outer frame in the “good frame” with the most 3 wins.

■ The wall of “10th or lower in the 4th corner of the previous run” that rests on Karate

The two races at the beginning of the year will be 1st and 3rd respectively.Completely established as a regular on the high-ranking frontKarate.. This time it’s been a long time since it changed to 1800m, but considering the current fulfillment, it may not be a big problem. However, the problem is the following data.

・ Results of horses that advanced below 10th in the 4th corner of the previous race[0-0-1-26]

Horses that were one of the most popular horses such as Ambitious and Persian Knight also fall under this category. As a result, it ended up betraying its popularity. It can be said that the data clearly show the characteristics of the Nakayama Kinen, which will be held in Nakayama during the opening week. Should we assume the loss of the stage change?

Part 2Then it emerges from the data sideNakayama KinenIntroducing two Anoma candidates.

◆[Nakayama Kinen 2022 Forecast / Data Strategy-Part 2]Blind spots around 30 times as much as expected.

[Nakayama Kinen / Data Strategy-Part 2]Blind spots around 30 times as expected.

Nakayama Kinen 2022 Forecast Column List

▼ Overtake diagnosis
◆[S evaluation]Highest evaluation even if you have not won the heavy prize “S” “Win or lose rich” in the final chase of spirit

◆[A rating]One of the most popular points is the “A” rating.

◆[A rating]The “A” rating, which exceeds Danon, overturns the reputation of the Anoma camp, “quality and quantity of boarding”.

◆[B rating]”B” rating, which is dissatisfied with the top popularity.

▼ Anoma forecast
◆[Dangerous popular horse-Part 1]One of the most popular horses is “erasing” What is one “should not buy” in a battle fortune-telling a middle-distance route in spring?

◆[Dangerous popular horse-Part 2]Pay attention to the explosion hole of a high-dividend maker again.

▼ Other data trends for the past 10 years
◆[Frame order]Danon The Kid, who is popular with Pansarassa, starts from the large outer frame in the “good frame” with the most 3 wins.

◆[Pedigree tendency]A high-ranking horse that is expected to revive the “mysterious” single recovery value “959” for a horse that has been defeated continuously.

◆[Leg quality tendency]The “win rate of 90.0%”, which is a marvelous lead, is also a necessary condition for a good run.

◆[Previous Rote]It should be noted that the race class is also a “required condition” for the quinella.

◆[Popularity trend]1 Even if the popularity is winning in a row, what you should pay attention to is the “odds difference” with the 2 popularity.

▼ Horse Racing Story Teller, Motonari Tahara’s Group Race Analysis TV “Nakayama Kinen”

Author profile

Motonari Tahara (next to Tahara) ● Horse-race critic
“Horse Racing Story Teller” continues to convey the appeal of horse racing predictions to the world. He finds the mysterious charm of expectations and writes horse racing books in the fields of rotation and pedigree. Currently writing a column at “Horse Racing Salon” in UMAJIN[Horse Racing Critic Motonari Tahara’s Perspectives on Expectations]. In “SPREAD”, we will unravel the background that can be read from data analysis and convey “the essence of horse racing behind the data”.

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