Riots in the streets if Trump is charged

Running out of arguments to defend Donald Trump in the Mar-a-Lago secret documents caseRepublicans brandish the threat of violence.

Every day, the positive outlook of the ex-president in this matter is darkening. His defenses – designed more to inflame his supporters than to convince a court – prove as pitiful as they are contradictory. The reaction of its Republican allies says a lot about what this party has become and about the risks this affair represents for its future.

Indefensible

These documents, stored in a club where foreign agents enter like a mill, were highly confidential. But why did Donald Trump insist on making them his own? Mystery. Whether he stole these documents out of sheer vanity or to sell them to the highest bidder, possessing them is a crime.

Moreover, Trump had multiple opportunities to hand over these documents, and he did not.

The excuses that he has been spouting since the August 8 seizure are as implausible as they are contradictory.

Running out of arguments, Republicans are reduced to pointing fingers at Democrats for events that don’t square with this deal with Trump, or, as Senator Lindsey Graham did, they go so far as to brandish the threat of violent riots if justice dares to treat Trump like any other citizen.

The specter of violence

It is not new that violence occupies a place of honor in Trumpist political discourse. During his 2016 campaign, Trump encouraged his supporters to thrash those who dared to show their opposition during his rallies. Violence was also at the heart of the assault on the Capitol on January 6, 2021. It is therefore not difficult to believe that one or more of the armed groups who worship Donald Trump could take action if the latter is criminally charged, but the magnitude of this threat should not be overestimated either.

In the aftermath of the seizure of Mar-a-Lago, the supporters who came to show their support at the scene were outnumbered by the reporters. Conversely, protesters against Trump the day after his inauguration numbered in the millions.

The Trapped Republicans

It was this threat of violence from extremist supporters of the Trump cult, among other things, that inspired President Biden’s scathing retort, who last week called the philosophy of the “MAGA Republicans” semi-fascist.

While several Trump-backed Senate candidates appear headed for defeats that will strip their party from control of Congress, Republicans who would like to turn the page are trapped by the Trump cult.

They know that the ex-president will not hesitate to scuttle the chances of the party by mobilizing his supporters against those who do not show him unwavering loyalty. Trump’s legal tribulations and his supporters’ drift to extremes are likely to have two seemingly contradictory effects: Trump’s chances of a 2024 nomination and his hold on his party are likely to consolidate, but that could come at a heavy cost. losses among centrist voters.

Republicans wanted Donald Trump. They are taken with more than ever.

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