Russian Losses in Ukraine War: Updates, Analysis, and Trends

2024-03-26 09:41:00

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    The Ukrainian military reports significantly lower losses on Russia’s side than in previous weeks. There could be several reasons behind this.

    KYIV – Russia’s losses in the Ukraine war have fluctuated significantly over the past month, according to assessments by the Ukrainian military. As the General Staff of the Ukrainian Armed Forces announced on Monday, around 640 Russian soldiers were estimated to have died between Sunday and Monday. If the numbers are correct, the development would indicate a new advantage on Russia’s side. In the previous days, around 1,000 soldiers were recorded dead.

    Russia has recorded significantly fewer casualties in the war against Ukraine than in recent weeks

    The numbers cannot be independently verified. Compared to recent assessments by the Ukrainian military, Russia appears to be losing significantly fewer soldiers for the first time in March than before. On March 13th the number was estimated at 980 and on March 14th it was estimated at 970. Russia recorded the most losses between Friday (March 22) and Saturday (March 23): According to the General Staff, around 1,000 soldiers were said to have died on both days.

    Russian soldiers on the front line in the Avdiivka sector. © IMAGO/Stanislav Krasilnikov

    Since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, the total number of Russian casualties to date (March 25) is estimated at 437,390. The General Staff also published material losses in its overview, which can be viewed on social media. Russia has lost, among other things, eleven tanks, 25 combat vehicles and 22 artillery systems within the last 24 hours.

    An overview of Russia’s losses in the Ukraine War (March 24-March 25):

    • Soldiers – about 437,390 (+640) people
    • Tanks – 6887 (+11) units
    • Armored fighting vehicles – 13,183 (+25) units
    • Artillery systems – 10,877 (+22) units
    • Air defense systems / anti-aircraft systems – 726 (+3) units
    • Aircraft – 347 (+0) units
    • Helicopters – 325 (+0) units
    • Cruise Missile – 2010 (+18)
    • Ships / Boats / Warships / Boats – 26 (+0) units
    • Submarines / Submarines – 1 (+0) units
    • Vehicles and fuel tanks – 14,454 (+47) units
    • Special Equipment – 1785 (+7)

    Losses of soldiers on both sides are heavily dependent on planned offensives and calm phases in the Ukraine war. Especially in the first half of the month, Russian soldiers launched new attacks west of the hotly contested industrial city of Avdiivka in eastern Ukraine. The Russian Defense Ministry subsequently announced last Tuesday that the village of Orlivka in the Donetsk region was under Russian control. The Ukrainian General Staff had previously reported that attacks had been repelled in the area of ​​the town. However, maps from Ukrainian military observers confirmed the front shift. Offensives like this repeatedly cost Russia numerous lives in its own ranks, especially the battle for Avdiivka in February.

    Russian losses in the Ukraine war are decreasing significantly for the first time: “It is a critical period of time”

    Since then, Russian forces say they have captured a number of villages in the region, including Nevelske, Orlivka, Krasnoye and the settlement of Ivanivske. One advantage could be Ukraine’s current ammunition shortage. Like the US news portal ABC Citing two US officials, they fear the shortage will become “catastrophic” by the end of March. The two officials gave their assessment anonymously in an interview in February. “The turning point is starting now, and it will only get worse in the spring and summer. “So this period that we are entering is a critical period,” one of the senior US defense officials told the channel.

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