The San Jose State Spartans travel to face the Air Force Falcons on Saturday, Nov. 14, 2026, with kickoff set for 7:00 p.m. EST at Falcon Stadium on CBS Sports Network, where sportsbooks list Air Force as an 11.5-point favorite and set the total at 47.5 points.
Action Network reported that the matchup brings together a triple-option Air Force squad entering the contest following a victory over Army that secured the Commander-in-Chief’s Trophy. The game marks a return to Mountain West play for the Falcons after a few weeks off.
Air Force relies on a ground-and-pound system featuring the fullback dive, quarterback iso, and quarterback follow. According to actionnetwork.com, Ken Niumatalolo knows how to stop the option, and his Spartans feature a stout run defense that could force the Falcons to struggle in establishing methodical drives.
San Jose State enters the matchup looking for three or four scoring possessions, recognizing that total opportunities will be limited by the clock-churning nature of the opponent. The Spartans have played as a consistent under team for most of the season, avoiding any game reaching past 50 total points since their Week 1 matchup against USC.
Sportsgambler.com said that San Jose State earned a 30-19 home victory against the Northern Illinois Huskies at CEFCU Stadium in their previous outing. Meanwhile, the Falcons captured a 24-21 road win against the Army Black Knights at Michie Stadium.
Head-to-head history shows Air Force claimed a 26-16 victory in the previous encounter between these programs at CEFCU Stadium. Across the last five head-to-head meetings, Air Force holds three wins.
FanDuel and Sportsgambler Offer Different Spreads for Air Force and San Jose State
FanDuel lists Air Force as an 11.5-point favorite with a moneyline of -490, while San Jose State is positioned as the underdog at +375 with a total line set at 47.5 points, according to actionnetwork.com. Alternate pricing tracks Air Force at -12 (-112) and San Jose State at +12 (-110), with moneyline odds at +370 for the Spartans.
Sportsgambler.com outlined a slightly broader spread, offering San Jose State at +12.5 with odds of -110. That outlet highlighted that the Spartans have covered the +12.5 line in four of their last five games, and in seven of their last ten contests overall.
Historical trends at Falcon Stadium indicate that the large spread has rarely favored home blowouts. Sportsgambler.com reported that the -12.5 line has not been covered by Air Force in nine of their last ten home games, nor in 17 of their last 20 overall contests.
Under Predictions and Scoring Projections
Action Network Joshua Nunn placed his best bet on the Under at 47.5 points, pointing to limited possessions and San Jose State’s run-heavy offensive approach. The Spartans rely heavily on the ground and lack explosive downfield passing capability to threaten the secondary of the Falcons.
A correct score prediction projected a 27-17 victory for the Falcons. On the moneyline, sportsbooks price Air Force at -588, giving the hosts an implied probability of roughly 85 percent to claim the victory.
Kickoff is scheduled for 19:00 on Saturday, November 14, at Falcon Stadium with broadcast coverage provided via CBS Sports Network.
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