[Sprinters S / Dangerous Popular Horses]Popular graded horses are evaluated as “erasing” Good sprint games also have “last 1F wall” | SPREAD

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Keiichi Obata

October 2nd at Nakayama RacecourseSprinters S(GI, turf 1200m) will be held.

Looking at the horses scheduled to run, he won the Centuru Stakes in his previous race with a course record.MeikayaleHanshin JF 5th place, Ouka Sho 3rd place, etc.Namrakureathis year’s Prince Takamatsu Memorial winnerNaranphleg3-year-old stallion who finished 2nd in his previous race, Keeneland CWin MarvelIn addition to the GI horse that will challenge the first sprint match this timeschnellmeisterwill participate.

This time, Sprinters S’s “dangerous hot horse” is taken up asNamrakureais.

◆[Sprinters Stakes 2022 Predictions/Catch-up Diagnosis]Highest rating “S” that surpasses Meikeyale “Both mentally and physically are sharpened”

■ Namrakurea, who has the highest track record in the 3-year-old filly route

He competed in the top ranks in GIs of the same generation, such as the 3rd place in the Ouka Sho, and in the Hakodate Sprint S, which was a match with the old horse, easily defeated the old horse in the Hakodate Sprint Stakes before the 2nd race. did. Since his debut, he has performed well in the turf 1,200m with[3.0.1.0]and has been able to use his legs from any position.

However, this time Namrakurea said “Last 1F wall” stands in the way.

Comparing Namrakurea’s sprint laps so far with the top 3 lap times in last year’s Sprinters Stakes,

・2021 Sprinters Stakes
└Pixie Knight
 →11.7-10.3-10.8-11.1-11.3-11.7
└ Resistencia
 →11.7-10.2-10.9-11.2-11.2-12.0
└Shivaji
 →11.7-10.6-11.0-11.1-11.3-11.4

・ Namrakurea, lap time in the sprint race
└Kitakyushu Memorial
 →11.7-10.3-10.8-11.1-11.3-11.7
└Hakodate SS
 →11.7-10.2-10.9-11.2-11.2-12.0
└Ogura 2 years old S
 →11.8-10.7-11.1-11.2-11.6-11.5
└Phoenix Award
 →12.1-10.7-11.3-12.2-12.1-12.4

In the sprint match, Namrakurea has been demonstrating his speed in the match against the old horse, but in fact, in the last two races, his legs have become dull in the last 1F. It can be said that Kitakyushu Kinen, which ran in the previous race, has improved well while searching for a course, but the last is inevitably slow, as if Taisei Vision, who was behind him, was allowed to come first.

In addition, this time Nakayama’s steep slopes are waiting for him, and he doesn’t have explosive legs like Pixie Knight or Sivaji. Full trust is hard to place.

From the above concerns, we also considered the betting ticket-like appeal, and one of the most popularNamrakureaof”Erase”. If you imagine this year’s member composition and pace on the road,Win Marvelcentered ongendarmesmaria’s heartVentovoceTherefore, we would like to give higher rankings to horses that can start racing from a certain position and can respond instantly even at a high pace.

◆[Sprinters Stakes 2022 Forecast / Data Strategy-Part 1]What is the light and shade of Meikeyale and Namrakurea, the winning rate of “100%” and “zero” data?

◆[Sprinters Stakes 2022 / Leg quality trend]No two consecutive years, but the course features boost the “point”

◆[Sprinters Stakes 2022 Forecast / Pedigree Trend]Matches the single recovery value “437” with the conditions met What is the expected “10 popularity” Anuma?

Sentence Koki Nishidate (Spread Editorial Department)

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