Ukrainian Army Withdrawal: Analysis and Fallout from the Battle of Ocheretyn

2024-05-01 09:56:25

2024-05-01 17:56 Compiled by United Daily News Zhou Chenyang/Real-time reporting

Al Jazeera reported on April 30 that the Ukrainian army, outnumbered and lacking ammunition, had steadily retreated in the eastern Donetsk region in recent weeks and withdrew from the front-line town of Ocheretyn and several other villages and towns.

The report points out that some officers and soldiers of the 155th brigade of the Ukrainian army, who were supposed to ensure the defense of Ocheretne, blame the fall of the city on the commander’s mistakes. One soldier wrote on the social network “X”: “My business was actually destroyed. We accomplished our mission in the worst conditions and no one cared.”

The soldier criticized: “We attacked without support but under stupid command. We defended almost without support but under equally stupid command.”

Retired Ukrainian Army General Serhiy Krivonos stressed that high-rise apartment buildings in Ocheretne could have served as an effective deterrent against the Russian army and prevented the occupation of the city. “The situation we are facing is serious,” he said. failure.”

Vladimir Prokhvatilov, a Russian military analyst and senior researcher at the Russian Academy of Military Sciences, believes that the fault lies with the new commander-in-chief of the Ukrainian army, Sersky, and the general shortage of weapons, ammunition and air defense systems. “The negative factor is that all of Ukraine and all military personnel know that there is no money, no equipment and there is a serious shortage of air defense systems.”

Prokhvatilov told state media that “when Sersky ordered the troops to withdraw, people simply ran away and he himself caused panic.”

Kiev analyst Mikhail Zhyrokhov said in an interview with Ukrainian media: “This is a breakthrough, not tactical, but strategic. This is why the Russians will only intensify the pressure. Ocheretny The situation around them is very difficult and tends to only get worse, because such an advance gives the Russians a huge advantage on the flanks, which is why it will be very difficult to hold other cities and another line of defense .

Nikolay Mitrokhin, a researcher at the University of Bremen in Germany, told Al Jazeera: “There is a big hole on the Donetsk front line. Through this big gap, the Russian army can advance in three or four directions. » He stressed that by deploying more troops, the Russian army could destroy Ukrainian army positions along the Bakhmutka River and advance up to 15 kilometers southwest without much resistance.

Near the front line in Donetsk Oblast, Ukraine, soldiers of the 25th Independent Airborne Brigade of the Ukrainian Army stand on a Marder infantry fighting vehicle…

Mitrokhin said: “The situation is very bad, but it is still unclear what kind of reserves the Ukrainian army will find and how the Russian army will be able to break through the minefield under continuous drone attacks. »

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