[Victoria M / Hole Rise]Blind spots of “10 popularity” or more the day before “The conditions for a fast run are met” | SPREAD

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2022.05.14

Keiichi Obata

the past 10 years,Victoria MileThe result of the most popular horse in is[3-2-0-5]and there is no victory by the second and third most popular horses. On the other hand, the 4th to 6th popularity has 4 wins, the 7th to 9th popularity has 2 wins, and the 11th popularity has 1 win. It is a race where you can see many good runs of ambush horses as a whole. In 2015, when Straight Girl won, the trifecta was settled by the 5th, 12th, and 18th popularity, and recorded a trifecta of 20,705,810 yen. This is the 6th place in the JRA triple payout ranking.

The reason why the Victoria Mile is so rough is thought to be the distance of 1600m. At the GI Queen Elizabeth Cup, the only old horse mare in the second half of the year at 2200m, the majority of racehorses have used medium distance, but Victoria Mile has a clash between the sprint route and the medium distance route. Such diversification of rotation makes power-related judges difficult, and as a result, a scheme that the betting ticket becomes rough is established.

◆[Victoria Mile 2022 Forecast / Anoma Analyze Vol.2]Assumed “40 times” ambush soldiers within the betting ticket range with a stable take

In the past 10 years, 7 horses with a popular lid girder[1-4-2-79]have been involved in betting tickets, and this time we will focus on the previous run of those horses. Three of the seven horses were in the battle from Hanshin Himba S, but in 2014 Verxina was the 5th most popular 11th place, and in 2013 Whale Capture was the 6th most popular 14th place, and 2 horses betrayed the popularity. On the other hand, in the previous run of 4 horses other than Hanshin Himba S, all horses are GIII limited to female horses, Rambling Alley is the 7th most popular 1st place in Nakayama Himba S, Denko Ange is the 8th most popular 4th place in Fukushima Himba S, Keiai Elegant Kyoto Himba S was the 9th most popular 1st place, and Minaret was the 14th most popular 5th place in the Fukushima Himba S.

Regarding the former, in the past 10 years Victoria Mile, the previous run Hanshin Himba S group has the most run, and if it seems to be less popular there, it tends to be neglected in the actual race. However, there are many horses that have had Hanshin Himba S for a long time on the program table, and it can be said that it is premature to give up on this one race alone when looking at the rebound at the Victoria Mile. In addition, the mare-only GIII group is often judged to have a low level of racehorses, and it is difficult for them to become popular even if they run well. These two patterns are the “Victoria Mile”AnomaIt will be a hint for excavation.

■ Magic Castle

The Fuchu Himba S before the 3rd run was 15th, and the Aichi Cup before the 2nd run was 9th, but the Hanshin Himba S in the previous run was the 4th most popular 5th. She was on the bulletin board for the first time in a while, but it was a run that betrayed her popularity. In the race, when I gathered my legs in 10th position behind, I stretched strongly from the outside of the straight line, but I could not catch these because of the advantageous development in the front.

In the straight line, it was not the original run as if I had changed the front many times, but even so, the 3rd floor went up and recorded the 2nd place of the member. The power of his last leg has not slowed down, and if he thinks it was the first time in three months, he will be given a point, and his good run after a long time made me feel a sign of recovery.

Tokyo Mile is a good course, as it finished 3rd in Victoria Mile last year and 2nd in Queen C at the age of 3, and I like the fact that there is no long-distance transportation before the race. He has won two wins in the last 10 years, and it seems that he will also support a good run by allocating two good slots. The Victoria Mile is a so-called “repeater” race, and of the top three horses last year, this is the only horse to run this year. The conditions for a fast run are in place.

◆[Victoria Mile 2022 Forecast / Anoma Analyze Vol.3]Aiming for a “big upset” with a perfect partner for a “many betting ticket” range explosion hole in a betting ticket

◆[Victoria Mile 2022 Prediction / Overtake Diagnosis]Highly rated “No complaints” for GI unwinning horses “Mental aspects have been sharpened”

◆[Victoria Mile 2022 Forecast / Data Strategy-Part 1]What are the “100%” and “zero” data that are the focus of attention on Lei Papale and Daring Tact?

▼ UMAJIN Channel “Winning! Okai Juku-Victoria Mile Edition”

Author profile

Tsuyoshi Yamada ● Editor-in-chief of “SPREAD”
Former editor-in-chief of horse racing monthly magazine, and now editor-in-chief of media “SPREAD” that reads the future of sports. He has been pursuing the Anoma conjecture ever since he was shocked by the runaway of the 16th most popular 2nd place Meisho Tesoro in the 1995 Mile CS. “Uma Musume” is recommended by Gold Ship.

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