Why does Ukraine fear a Russian “no-fly” zone in the Donbass?

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And while Western reports talk about slow russian progress Fearing fighting outside their supply lines, it revealed intense efforts to introduce more Russian S-400 air defense and drone batteries, as well as low cloud cover in the area leaving Ukrainian pilots vulnerable.

According to the magazine "Foreign Policy" The Russian air defense zones have complicated Ukrainian military plans To demand more US- and Western-owned fighter jets, especially the Soviet-era MiG-29s, the Ukrainian military hopes to use new planes to force Russian planes to land at an altitude that can be targeted by surface-to-air missile batteries or shoulder-fired Stinger missiles.

Quoted from a Ukrainian military official that "Ukrainian planes faced threats from anti-aircraft systems Russian upgraded, which necessitated the re-stocking of aircraft. We don’t lose our planes every day, but we lose them, and of course we need new supplies of these planes".

Lack of supplies and loss of sovereignty

Commenting on this, the Czech-Canadian analyst specializing in international security and political affairs, Mitchell Belfer, said that the idea that Russia would impose a no-fly zone over eastern Ukraine means an end-game strategy from Moscow.

Belfer, who is the director of the European Gulf Information Center in Rome, added in statements to"Sky News Arabia": "Russia will focus its forces’ movement on its anti-aircraft batteries and thus prevent Ukraine from being able to resupply its ground forces from the air as well as reduce its offensive capabilities on targets inside Russia. It also sends a very strong message that eastern Ukraine is no longer under the sovereign control of Kiev".

emphasized that "Ukraine is intensifying its efforts to avoid losing control of the skies over the eastern parts of the country. Since NATO is unwilling to impose a no-fly zone on any part of Ukraine, air supremacy will therefore go to the Russians.".

Luhansk and Donetsk

He pointed out that "There is a great chance that Putin will announce the annexation of Donetsk and Luhansk on Victory Day, May 9. But this will not necessarily end the war. Also, de facto, the Russians succeeded in snatching those lands away from Ukraine Since 2014. The biggest question will be where are the ceasefire lines when the war is finally over".

explained that "Russia’s change of tactics as well as the change in its strategic objectives reflect a desire to quickly end the war with more limited gains. However, given the intensity of the war and the fact that Ukrainian forces repelled Russia in key positions, it could also mean that a longer war was looming even if Russia intended to consolidate its victory in the east. This war is still unpredictable like all wars".

According to the newspaper "The New York Times" Over the weekend, Ukraine seemed likely to get more combat aircraft Increasingly likely, pointing out that Slovakia and Poland have reached an agreement allowing Polish F-16s to patrol Slovak airspace and the possibility of Soviet MiG fighters moving to Ukraine.

She explained that "With Russia still not in control of Ukraine’s skies after nearly 70 days of a war that Western intelligence officials initially estimated could be over within hours, Russian pilots remain wary of entering Ukrainian airspace for raids, fearing surface-to-air missiles. that "Westerners believe that most of the Russian strikes are launched from western Russia or from the Black Sea. Ukraine’s air defenses could improve with the arrival of more Eastern European air defense batteries and German air defense tanks".

considered that "Ukrainian sorties helped keep the MiG jets alive, moving them so that Russia could not locate and destroy them. But part of its strategy is also to try to force the Russians to fly at different altitudes, which would give the Ukrainians a better chance of striking Russian planes With surface-to-air missiles, the Ukrainian army announced the destruction of 194 aircraft, 155 helicopters and 271 Russian drones since the beginning of the war.".

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And while Western reports talk about slow russian progress Fearing fighting outside their supply lines, it revealed intense efforts to introduce more Russian S-400 air defense and drone batteries, as well as low cloud cover in the area leaving Ukrainian pilots vulnerable.

According to the “Foreign Policy” magazine, the Russian air defense zones have complicated Ukrainian military plans To demand more US- and Western-owned fighter jets, especially the Soviet-era MiG-29s, the Ukrainian military hopes to use new planes to force Russian planes to land at an altitude that can be targeted by surface-to-air missile batteries or shoulder-fired Stinger missiles.

It quoted a Ukrainian military official that “Ukrainian planes faced threats from anti-aircraft systems Russian upgraded, which necessitated the re-stocking of aircraft. We don’t lose our planes every day, but we do lose them, and of course we need new supplies of these planes.”

Lack of supplies and loss of sovereignty

Commenting on this, the Czech-Canadian analyst specializing in international security and political affairs, Mitchell Belfer, said that the idea that Russia would impose a no-fly zone over eastern Ukraine means an end-game strategy from Moscow.

Belfer, who is the director of the European Gulf Information Center in Rome, added, in statements to “Sky News Arabia”: “Russia will focus the movement of its forces on its anti-aircraft batteries and thus prevent Ukraine from being able to resupply its ground forces from the air as well as reduce its offensive capabilities on targets. inside Russia. It also sends a very strong message that eastern Ukraine is no longer under the sovereign control of Kiev.”

He emphasized that “Ukraine is seriously intensifying its efforts to avoid losing control of the skies over the eastern parts of the country. Since NATO is unwilling to impose a no-fly zone on any part of Ukraine, air supremacy will therefore go to the Russians.”

Luhansk and Donetsk

He noted that “there is a great chance that Putin will announce the annexation of Donetsk and Luhansk on Victory Day May 9. But this will not necessarily end the war. Also, de facto, the Russians have succeeded in snatching those territories away from Ukraine Since 2014. The biggest question will be where the ceasefire lines will be when the war finally ends.”

He explained that “Russia’s change of tactics as well as the change in its strategic objectives reflect a desire to quickly end the war with more limited gains. However, given the intensity of the war and the fact that Ukrainian forces have repelled Russia in key positions, it may also mean that a longer war is looming even if Russia is It intends to consolidate its victory in the East. This war is still unpredictable, like all wars.”

According to the New York Times, over the weekend, Ukraine seemed likely to get more combat aircraft Increasingly likely, pointing out that Slovakia and Poland have reached an agreement allowing Polish F-16s to patrol Slovak airspace and the possibility of Soviet MiG fighters moving to Ukraine.

With Russia still not in control of Ukraine’s skies after about 70 days of war that Western intelligence officials initially estimated could end within hours, Russian pilots remain wary of entering Ukrainian airspace to launch raids, fearing surface-to-air missiles. “Westerners believe that most of the Russian strikes are launched from western Russia or from the Black Sea. Ukraine’s air defenses can improve with the arrival of more air defense batteries from Eastern Europe and German air defense tanks.”

She considered that “Ukrainian sorties helped to keep the MiG jets alive, and move them so that Russia could not locate and destroy them. But part of its strategy is also to try to force the Russians to fly at different altitudes, which would give the Ukrainians a better chance to strike Russian planes With surface-to-air missiles, the Ukrainian army announced the destruction of 194 aircraft, 155 helicopters and 271 Russian drones since the beginning of the war.

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