Xi Jinping Absence: Li Qiang at BRICS & China’s 9.3 Parade – Power Shift?

Xi jinping’s Absence Sparks Political Intrigue Ahead Of Brics Summit 2025

Beijing – A Cloud Of Uncertainty hovers over China‘s participation in the upcoming Brics Summit. President Xi Jinping is rumored to be a no-show, triggering a wave of speculation about the underlying reasons and potential political fallout. The anticipated absence from what is often regarded as a crucial stage for demonstrating global leadership – Brics summit – is fueling intense debate among political analysts worldwide.

Premier Li Qiang is now slated to represent China at the summit, a move that has intensified scrutiny of Xi’s current standing within the Communist Party. This growth raises pivotal questions: Is this merely a scheduling conflict, or dose it signal a more profound power struggle brewing within the upper echelons of Chinese politics?

Xi Jinping Skips Brics Summit: A Sign Of Internal Turmoil?

Reports from Bloomberg and the South China Morning Post, citing Brazilian government sources on June 25, 2025, indicate that Xi Jinping will not be attending the brics Summit scheduled for July 6-7 in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. instead, Premier Li Qiang is expected to lead the Chinese delegation, a repeat of his role at the 2023 G20 summit in India.

The official reason for Xi’s absence remains undisclosed. A Brazilian official, quoted by Bloomberg, stated that Beijing did not provide a specific clarification, though Brazil isn’t overly concerned by it. Another official informed the South China Morning post that Xi could not attend due to a scheduling conflict, compounded by his recent meetings with Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, including the G20 summit in Brazil in November 2024 and the China-Latin America Forum in Beijing in May 2025.

Despite the diplomatic niceties, Brazilian officials have reportedly expressed disappointment.One source indicated that Lula’s visit to Beijing in May was intended as a gesture of goodwill, with the expectation that Xi would reciprocate by attending the summit in Rio.

Did You Know? The Brics nations-Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa-represent over 40% of the world’s population and nearly a quarter of global GDP.

mounting Speculation And Shifting Power Dynamics

The absence of Xi Jinping from the Brics Summit is particularly noteworthy, given his consistent attendance in previous years. some speculate that Lula’s invitation to Indian Prime minister Modi for a state banquet following the summit may have influenced Beijing’s decision, with Xi potentially feeling sidelined or relegated to a supporting role.

Brazil’s Foreign Ministry has declined to comment on internal discussions of foreign delegations, and the Chinese Embassy in Brazil has not instantly responded to requests for clarification.

Political analysts suggest that China is grappling with significant internal challenges, including a sluggish economic recovery, a precarious real estate market, and mounting local debt.These factors have brought domestic political stability into sharper focus.Xi’s recent emphasis on “safety and stability” during local government inspections indicates heightened internal pressure to maintain control.

Current affairs commentator Li Linyi notes that the Brics Summit typically serves as a prime venue for China to project its influence on the world stage. He contrasts this situation with the 2023 G20 Summit in New Delhi, where Li Qiang’s attendance was seen differently as India’s Modi was leading the summit, the CCP believes China can also exert its dominance outside.

Conflicting Signals And Diplomatic Maneuvering

Adding another layer to the intrigue, recent online rumors have suggested that Xi Jinping’s power may be waning, with control potentially shifting to figures like zhang Youxia, Vice Chairman of the Central Military Commission, and veteran politician Wen Jiabao. Some rumors even propose that Xi may cede some or all of his power at the Fourth Plenary Session of the CPC central Committee in August, with the September 3 military parade commemorating the 80th anniversary of the end of World War Two serving as a platform for a new leader to assert authority.

However, the State Council Information Office announced on June 24 that Xi Jinping would review troops and deliver “significant” speeches during the parade, seemingly contradicting these rumors.

Pro Tip: Stay informed by following reputable news sources and cross-referencing information to get a well-rounded view of complex political situations.

Analysis And Expert opinions

Commentator Dr. Zhang Tianliang posits that if the Fourth Plenary Session is indeed held in August, it would signal that Xi jinping intends to retain power.

Hong Kong media veteran Wang Jian suggests that Xi’s ability to conduct the military parade indicates that his fundamental position remains intact. Though, Wang notes that Xi faces considerable resistance within the Communist Party. for instance, a military newspaper did not mention Xi’s alcohol ban, suggesting that Zhang Youxia is exerting control over the army and ignoring Xi’s directives.

Wang Jian also highlights the recent investigation of Yu Wenming, former director of the state Management of Conventional Chinese Medicine, and the absence of State Security Minister Chen Yixin from a symposium, suggesting potential setbacks for Xi’s allies and limitations to his power.

Current affairs commentator Tang Jingyuan argues that Xi Jinping may have already lost substantial power and is merely cooperating with the current arrangement.He draws parallels to historical situations where leaders appeared to maintain control while effectively being sidelined.

The Beidaihe Meeting And Future Scenarios

Tang Jingyuan further speculates that the upcoming Beidaihe meeting,a secretive gathering of top CCP leaders typically held from late July to early August,could influence the timing of the Fourth Plenary Session. If the Beidaihe meeting extends into early August, the likelihood of the Plenary Session occurring before the September 3 parade diminishes.

Key Takeaways: The Brics Summit Power Play

Event	Details	Potential Implications
xi Jinping’s Absence	Reportedly not attending the 2025 BRICS summit	Signals internal political challenges or focus on domestic issues
Li Qiang’s Attendance	Premier Li Qiang to lead the Chinese delegation	Ensures China’s representation but raises questions about leadership dynamics
Rumors of Power Shift	Unconfirmed reports of Xi Jinping’s power waning	Heightens scrutiny of internal power struggles within the CCP
Military Parade	Xi Jinping scheduled to review troops on September 3	Contradicts rumors of power loss, suggesting continued control

Evergreen Insights

The dynamics surrounding Xi Jinping’s leadership and China’s role in international forums like the Brics Summit are critical for understanding the future of global geopolitics. Factors such as economic stability,internal political cohesion,and diplomatic relations with key partners substantially influence China’s influence and standing on the world stage.

As of November 2024, China’s economic growth faced headwinds, with real estate market instability and local government debt posing significant challenges. according to the National Bureau of Statistics of China, the real estate sector saw a 3% decrease in investment year-on-year. These economic factors could be influencing Xi Jinping’s decision to prioritize domestic issues over international appearances.

Frequently asked Questions

• Why is Xi Jinping reportedly skipping the Brics Summit?
  Reports suggest his absence from the Brics Summit may stem from scheduling conflicts or deeper political issues within China, as analysts speculate about internal pressures and potential power struggles.
• who will attend the Brics Summit in place of Xi jinping?
  Premier Li Qiang is expected to lead the Chinese delegation at the Brics Summit, mirroring his role at the 2023 G20 Summit in India.
• What are the potential implications of Xi Jinping’s absence?
  Some observers believe Xi Jinping’s absence may indicate a need to focus on domestic challenges, including economic recovery, real estate concerns, and internal political stability.
• Are there rumors of a power shift within the Chinese Communist Party?
  Yes, unconfirmed rumors suggest that Xi Jinping’s power might potentially be waning, with speculation about potential shifts involving other high-ranking officials. However, official statements indicate Xi is still in command.
• How might Xi jinping’s absence affect China’s influence at the Brics Summit?
  While China remains a key player in the Brics alliance,Xi Jinping’s absence could slightly diminish the perception of China’s dominance. However, Premier Li Qiang’s presence ensures China’s interests are still represented.

What Are Your Thoughts?

What do you think about xi Jinping’s potential absence from the brics Summit? How might this impact China’s relationships with other Brics nations? Share your thoughts and insights in the comments below!

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Xi Jinping’s Absence: Is China Experiencing a Power Shift?

The absence of a leader from notable international events frequently enough sparks speculation. In China, any deviation from the norm, especially the absence of Xi Jinping, provokes close analysis. This article delves into the implications of Xi Jinping’s non-attendance at events such as the BRICS summit and the 9.3 Parade, while examining the rise of Premier Li Qiang and the potential for a power shift within the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).

Li Qiang: Taking Center stage in Xi’s Absence?

When Xi Jinping is not present, Li qiang, the Premier of the State Council, often steps into the spotlight, representing China on the global stage. This raises questions about delegation of authority and potential changes in leadership dynamics within the CCP. Examining Li Qiang’s actions and pronouncements during Xi’s absence can provide valuable insights.

BRICS Summit: A Test of Leadership

The BRICS summit (Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa) is a critical platform for promoting multilateralism and economic cooperation. If Xi Jinping were to miss such an event, Li Qiang’s presence would be closely scrutinized. Observers would watch for any shifts in China’s foreign policy or in the country’s approach to it’s BRICS partners. Li’s performance at the summit would be interpreted as an indicator of his influence and of the broader consensus within the CCP regarding China’s international strategy. Key discussions would revolve around:

• Global Economic Cooperation: The promotion of trade and development within the BRICS framework.
• Political Alignment: China’s stance on critical international issues, its relationships with other BRICS nations, and its response to diplomatic challenges.
• China’s International Role: The signaling of China’s position on global governance, and its approach to international issues during the absence of Xi Jinping.

The 9.3 Parade: Symbolism and Succession

China’s 9.3 Parade,which commemorates the end of World War II,is a significant occasion for national display and reaffirmation of the CCP’s power. Xi Jinping’s absence from such a symbolically potent event could imply significant implications. The importance of the parade lies in:

• National Unity: this parade reinforces the narrative of national unity and historical achievements.
• Military Strength: The military showcase serves as a demonstration of China’s growing military strength.
• succession Signals: Any changes in protocol or in the individuals featured prominently during this event can be interpreted as signals regarding leadership succession.

Power Dynamics: The Implications

The absence of Xi Jinping dose not automatically guarantee a transfer of power. However, it does provide opportunities to assess power dynamics within the government. The increased visibility of Li Qiang could indicate thes possibilities:

1. Delegation of Authority: The absence highlights the extent of Xi’s leadership, and how power is delegated.
2. Policy Continuity: The consistent portrayal China pursues even in the absence of Xi Jinping
3. Succession Planning: The event provides insights regarding the possible future contenders for leadership in China..

Event	Key Indicators	Potential Implications
BRICS Summit	Li Qiang’s speeches, diplomatic meetings, policy announcements.	Strengthening of Li Qiang’s influence, shifts in foreign policy priorities.
9.3 Parade	Li Qiang’s role in the ceremony, military displays, leadership positioning.	Leadership succession signals, demonstration of political unity.

Real-World Examples & Historical Context

Analyzing past absences, if any, and studying the previous appearances of various CCP leaders could provide a more nuanced view of the situation. As an example, historical precedents can show how power shifts in the past may serve as precedents.

China’s political system is known for its secrecy. The reasons behind the absence of Xi Jinping are not always clear. Therefore, it is essential to analyze any available facts from a variety of sources – news reports, academic research, and official statements from the Chinese government – to get a clear understanding of the unfolding situation.