Youssef Fares Central: Analysis of Israel’s Escalation Against Hezbollah in Southern Lebanon

2024-04-05 12:20:16

Youssef Fares

Central – It is evident from the course of the battle in southern Lebanon and the mutual military operations that Israel has made its decision to escalate against Hezbollah. This is represented by the escalation of strikes on villages and areas incubating the resistance on the one hand, and by the intensification of bombing against Hezbollah sites and the assassination of its leaders, in addition to targeting its weapons stores and infrastructure, while the party has not raised the ceiling on its targeting and is still bombing the same sites every day. This is a message from him and Iran behind him that there is no desire for escalation. However, the south, and with it Lebanon, appear to be facing a long-term war of attrition, as evidenced by what the Hebrew media recently reported about a report received by officials of local authorities in northern Israel, stating that the next school year may not begin due to the war, which means that the crisis may last for many months. This is despite the exclusion of a comprehensive war with Hezbollah, since the latter does not want a war with high costs and devastating results, while Israel does not have American cover to carry out any incursion into Lebanon and may not need such an operation if it is able to impose a new security equation on the borders. With Lebanon through the current strikes.

Former MP Mustafa Alloush regrets through “Central” that Lebanon has been completely exhausted, especially from the southern side, whose villages and buildings were completely destroyed, but what is certain of what is happening on the border is that Israel is exhausting Iran and its tools, knowing that Tehran does not want war and is not prepared for it, as evidenced by its direct targeting of the headquarters. Its consulate is in Syria, where it has already become clear that Iran is a paper tiger and is using its arms in Lebanon, Syria, Yemen and Iraq to serve its interests. We must not forget here that Israel is, by nature, aggressive and provocative.

Regarding the decline in the level of operations launched by Hezbollah against Israel, while it is increasing the frequency of its targeting of it and Lebanon, he said that the concern or support that Hezbollah claims in support of Gaza is more propaganda than realistic, as evidenced by its avoidance of bombing civilian centers and killing Israeli civilians, as if what it is doing is to say that we deny Our promise to Hamas and Palestine, knowing that Netanyahu hopes that the party will commit such an operation in order to use it as a pretext to invade Lebanon.

As for the American position calling for avoiding conflict and expanding the circle of war, Alloush adds, “There is no doubt that Israel is an American state and an advanced position for Washington in the Middle East, and no matter how intense the dispute between them is, it cannot allow this position to be shaken or broken.” There may be a dispute between the two administrations, as is the case currently, but it will not go beyond concepts and rules. For example, abandoning Netanyahu and his government is possible, but in absolute terms it is not an abandonment of Israel, which in the end is the result of an old and costly American investment in this advanced position in the region.

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