2024-01-19 02:40:42
The president of El Salvador, Nayib Bukele would win re-election with 81.9% of the votes in the February 4 electionswhere a single-party scheme could be established, a survey by a private university estimated this Thursday.
In a simulation of the scrutiny carried out with a voting ballot, Bukele, of the Nuevas Ideas party, obtained 81.9% of voting intention, according to the survey by the Jesuit Universidad Centroamericana (UCA). With a margin of error of 2.7%, the survey was conducted from January 3 to 14 with a sample of 1,264 people.
In a distant second place is the candidate of the leftist Farabundo Martí National Liberation Front (FMLN), the former deputy Manuel Flores, with 4.2%; while the right-wing Nationalist Republican Alliance (Arena), with the businessman Joel Sánchez, reaches 3.4%. Three other candidates appear with less than 2.5%.
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The country is facing “the most asymmetric elections” since 1992, declared the vice-rector of the UCA, Omar Serrano, when presenting the study. The elections will be “a kind of procedure to make them functional for those in power” and will mark “a change in the party system” in the country, he added. According to this survey, “we are approaching a regime of either a single party or a hegemonic party”, which only exist “in non-democratic regimes”Serrano warned.
Both the FMLN and ARENA dominated Salvadoran politics after the civil war (1980-1992), until Bukele in 2019 broke that bipartisanship. On Tuesday, another survey carried out by the Francisco Gavidia University (UFG), also private, was released, in which Bukele obtained 70.9% of voting intention, the FMLN 2.9% and Arena 2.7%. The rest was around 1%. 21.2% did not give an opinion or said they would annul their vote.
With a register of 6.2 million voters, in the elections Congress will also be renewed, currently dominated by the ruling party and its allies and which will have 60 deputies instead of the current 84, after an electoral reform. The projection, according to the UFG survey, is that the Nuevas Ideas party would obtain 57 deputies, 2 Arena, and 1 the Christian Democratic Party.
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The controversy surrounding Bukele’s possible re-election
The 42-year-old president On November 30, he received a license from Congress for six months —until May 31, 2024— to dedicate himself to the proselytizing campaign for his re-election. The deputies established that Claudia Juana Rodríguez de Guevara, current private secretary of Nayib Bukele, will occupy the presidency while the president focuses on the campaign.
Bukele enjoys broad support for his “war” against gangswhich brought tranquility to the population, but at the cost of civil rights limited by an emergency regime that has been in force since March 2022 and that allows arrests without a court order and is criticized by human rights organizations.
The controversial ruling of the Constitutional Court empowered Bukele to run for a second consecutive term, although the Salvadoran Magna Carta did not allow re-election. For this reason, controversy was generated among opposition sectors that consider the ruling “unconstitutional.”
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