[Epoch Times, September 17, 2022]Hello everyone, I’m Tang Hao, how are you today? “world crossroads》
Xi JinpingSecret speech exposedmake poorChina saves the CCP? Resolutely engage in personality cult, will China return to the Mao era?solveTaiwan questionWritten into the party constitution, will Xi be re-elected to go to war?
The 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China is about to debut, but the party is still unstable, and the domestic officialdom is throwing a share abroadXi JinpingInternal speeches, revealing secret conversations between Xi Jinping and senior party officials and princelings. How reliable is this secret speech? How does Xi Jinping conduct power struggles against the top leaders of the party? Why does Xi not hesitate to bring down the economy but also engage in “dynamic clearing”? If Xi Jinping is re-elected, what kind of future will China lead?
In addition, the Hong Kong media pointed out that the 20th Congress of the Communist Party of China revised the party constitution toTaiwan question, to realize the complete reunification of the motherland” was written into the party constitution. What is the political significance of this move? Does this mean that after Xi Jinping is re-elected, the two sides of the strait will soon go to war? The “Taiwan Policy Act” was just passed by the US Senate Foreign Relations Committee. Why might this bill prompt Xi Jinping to speed up his preparations for war? Discuss with you in this episode.
Today we want to talk to you about two important topics:
Topic one:make poorHungry to save the CCP, Xi’s internal speech broke the news?
Topic 2: “Solving the Taiwan Issue” Joining the Party Constitution Is the Cross-Strait War Soon?
Let’s look at the first topic.
Topic 1: Fighting the poor and starving to save the CCP’s internal speeches?
In less than a month, the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China will be held, and the results of the distribution of power within the CCP will also be announced. But at this time, on September 16, overseas self-media disclosed a leaking letter from a domestic officialdom.
This letter mainly talks about two things: First, the “Xi Xixia Li Shang” that has recently been hyped overseas does not exist. Xi Jinping’s power has not weakened. Although there is no guarantee that he will be re-elected 100%, it is also “. The second thing, which is also the focus of the letter, discloses a certain internal speech by Xi Jinping to high-level party leaders and princelings.
As for the content of this speech, to be honest, we cannot verify the authenticity. After all, the CCP’s officialdom has always been highly closed and opaque. However, I have also discussed with several experts on China issues. The words used are indeed very similar to Xi Jinping’s style, very tacky, no, very “down-to-earth”. Moreover, the ideas and thinking conveyed by this speech are indeed highly consistent with what Xi Jinping is doing now.
So, I think, whether or not the content of this speech was given by Xi himself, it will help us to understand Xi Jinping’s current thinking and future line. We will analyze it for your reference.
First of all, we can see from this speech that Xi Jinping’s main purpose is to fight back against those in the party who criticize him for engaging in a “personality cult” and “breaking the rules.” He said, “Chinese civilization has a five-thousand-year history and all dynasties and dynasties have come from individual worship.” He also said, “Our party has worshipped Chairman Mao’s personality since the Yan’an period. It has been worshipped for so many years, and a new China will be built. Is this good or bad?”
Point 1: Xi agrees that the cult of personality centralizes power
We will not discuss the right or wrong of the content of this speech. The key point is that we can see a key point. Xi Jinping really wants to engage in “personality cult” and agrees with “personality cult”. He thinks this is the ruling method from ancient times to the present. .
Therefore, in the past nine years, we can see that Xi Jinping has been continuously concentrating and expanding his power. Maybe after the 20th National Congress this time, he will really give himself the title of “people’s leader”, just like Mao Zedong.
Point 2: Hold high Mao Zedong and belittle Deng Xiaoping
Second, from the content of his speech, we can see that Xi Jinping is constantly exalting Mao Zedong and belittling Deng Xiaoping at the same time. For example, when someone criticized him for “breaking the rules” to run for three consecutive terms, he responded, “The rules are meant to be broken. Chairman Mao didn’t say: don’t break, don’t stand. Chairman Mao’s rules were not broken by Xiaoping?”
He also secretly criticized Deng Xiaoping’s “black cat and white cat theory.” He said, “No matter what kind of cat it catches mice, it is a good cat, which is totally inconsistent with dialectical materialism.” Red cats are rare, and this is the core issue of our party and our regime.”
Xi Jinping’s current words and deeds are indeed highly consistent with these ideas. Xi Jinping has not only been cutting off from Deng Xiaoping’s “reform and opening up”, but has instead moved towards Mao Zedong’s “high-pressure centralization” and “continuous revolution.”
For example, the CCP media “Seeking Truth” published an article by Xi Jinping on September 16, which once again used the language of the Cultural Revolution to emphasize the need to “carry out a great social revolution.” From this, it can be seen that Lao Mao is Xi Jinping’s “mentor”, and he wants to stand shoulder to shoulder with Lao Mao and rebuild a turbulent revolutionary era.
Key point 3: Self-proclaimed as a “guardian of the CCP” to protect the power and position of the CCP
Next, the third point is that Xi Jinping considers himself a “guardian of the party”, so he must protect the country of the Communist Party and keep his position in power.
Xi Jinping criticized Deng Xiaoping and criticized his reform and opening up for raising a lot of “bourgeoisie” within the party, making the party degenerate and decadent. “The Communist Party is not a party that creates wealth, it is a revolutionary party, a red party, and a party that holds power,” he said.
He also said that he reluctantly wanted to be re-elected just to keep the party’s “pure red genes”. He said, “It’s not that I want to be re-elected, it’s just that I’m not at ease. If someone else comes up, it may soon be rotten and completely bourgeois.”
What is this indicating? It shows that in Xi Jinping’s mind, he does not care about the overall situation of the country’s future, nor the well-being of the people, but “protecting the Communist Party,” “protecting the country,” and “protecting the political power.” This is also in line with what he is currently doing.
Key point 4: You can bring down the economy but not the country
Also, on the fourth point, in Xi Jinping’s thinking, China’s economy can collapse, but the CCP cannot collapse. During the conversation, Xi Jinping criticized some people in the party who questioned that he would bring down the economy. He said that as early as 10 years ago, when he first started the anti-corruption campaign, he was reminded not to bring down the economy, “Don’t throw water and throw children too. ”.
But he said, when he was young in the countryside, everyone was very poor, but every family had four or five children, but now that the economy is good, everyone only has one or two children, and they are unwilling to have children. So he thinks that the economy is good, but it makes everyone afraid of suffering and makes the party corrupt.
He said, “It’s better to suffer a little and experience poverty. We were so miserable when we were young, why do we feel happy every day?” He also emphasized, “I never worry about the economy. Suffering? Didn’t you survive the same?” “I am not afraid of poverty, I am afraid of forgetting my roots, and I am afraid of decay.”
From this passage, it can be seen that he was really brainwashed by the CCP’s party culture in his mind. He wholeheartedly defended the party, safeguarded the CCP regime and his own position, and instead became the number one slave of the CCP.
This is also fully reflected in his “dynamic clearing”. Whether it is Shanghai or Chengdu or other cities, these places can be closed down at any cost, and it doesn’t matter if the people run out of food, but it is all about completing the Party Central Committee. order to maintain the authority of President Xi. In a simple sentence, people can starve to death, but they must not lose their political power and power. This is Xi Jinping’s current core thinking.
As for this leaking letter from China, although we cannot verify the authenticity, the content in it is indeed quite in line with what Xi Jinping is doing at present, so it still has a certain reference value. In general, I think this leak letter also allows us to foresee a few things that will happen next:
First, Xi Jinping will be re-elected at the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China, but dissatisfaction and scruples within the party are still very deep, and factional struggles and conflicts within the CCP will continue to be staged in the future.
Second, Xi Jinping will not reform and open up. He will lead China back to the old red revolution path of Mao Zedong’s era, with constant political movements and constant intra-party struggles. And there may also be a closed-door country, or the so-called “self-restriction”.
Third, after Xi Jinping’s re-election, China’s economy may not improve, and may be heading for a long-term downturn. Although it is unlikely to fully decouple from foreign economies, the scale of foreign trade has been greatly reduced, and it has become dominated by domestic “internal circulation”. , that is, more and more towards “self-reliance”.
In a nutshell, Xi Jinping will then lead China to “North Korea”, politically repressive, concentrating power in the hands of individuals, but economically losing flexibility, creativity, and the attractiveness of foreign capital, ultimately making China a A dictatorship with a strong country and a poor people. “world crossroads》
Topic 2: Solving the Taiwan issue and joining the Party Constitution is it not far from the cross-strait war?
Although Xi Jinping visited Central Asia in the past two days, the tension and confrontation in Taiwan Strait relations are still the focus of attention of the international community. At this time, the Hong Kong media suddenly wrote an article, predicting what key content will be added when the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China plans to revise the party constitution. One of the key points is that Xi Jinping is likely to “solve the Taiwan issue”. , to realize the complete reunification of the motherland.” The slogan was added to the party constitution.
The so-called “Party Constitution” refers to the “Constitution of the Communist Party of China.” In fact, political parties all over the world have party constitutions, including the Kuomintang and the DPP. If we compare a political party to a country, then the party constitution is equivalent to the “constitution” in a political party, which is the fundamental rules and regulations within the party, and is a rule that all party members must abide by.
In the past, in the CCP’s party constitution, there were only one sentence “to complete the reunification of the motherland” and another sentence “to complete the great cause of the reunification of the motherland” on cross-strait issues. clear. What does this indicate? This shows that cross-strait reunification was a long-term goal and a strategic slogan for the CCP in the past, and there was no sense of urgency to achieve it.
However, if Xi Jinping revised the party constitution this time and really added the phrase “solving the Taiwan issue and realizing the complete reunification of the motherland”, then Xi Jinping announced to the party that he would formally face the Taiwan issue and complete the “motherland” that the CCP said as soon as possible. reunification”, that is, the actual occupation of Taiwan.
In fact, this is not surprising at all. As we said a while ago, I said that after Xi Jinping’s re-election at the 20th National Congress, there will be more and more pressure to win Taiwan, and he will send troops to win Taiwan, but This year is almost impossible, and the probability next year is not high, because the CCP’s landing combat capability and amphibious combat equipment are currently insufficient.
However, the CCP will definitely speed up its preparations for sending troops, especially around 2027, when the risk of war between the two sides is the highest. Because this year will be the last year of Xi Jinping’s third term. Therefore, it would not be surprising if the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China really included “solving the Taiwan issue” in the party constitution. Moreover, being written into the party constitution does not mean that the two sides of the strait will soon start a war, which is not the case, but this point can let us see that for Xi Jinping, winning Taiwan has an increasingly urgent importance. why?
1. Breaking internal hard rules requires making achievements and matching
The first reason is that Xi Jinping’s forced three-term re-election this time has broken the “hard rules” within the party and the family law set by Deng Xiaoping. He accepted his re-election, but there are still many people who are dissatisfied with him.
Therefore, Xi Jinping is bound to establish an “unworldly merit”, to do a major event that the past leaders of the Communist Party of China could not do, such as crying down the Great Wall of China, etc., to prove his leadership ability. Get this third term. Otherwise, if he has not done anything after being re-elected, he will definitely be surrounded and suppressed by the party.
Therefore, Xi Jinping has called out the “Chinese Dream” since he ascended the throne and wanted “the great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation”, so of course he wanted to use “unification of Taiwan” as a trophy to prove his leadership, to prove his status in the party There is no one before and no one since.
2. Fight for four consecutive terms and rule for life to establish the “Xi Dynasty”
The second reason is that Xi Jinping wants to fight for a fourth term or even to rule for life, to establish his “Communist Xi Dynasty”.
Xi Jinping amended the constitution in 2018 to remove term limits for the president, paving the way for himself to be re-elected as president for life. As for the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China, Xi Jinping is going to break the term limit within the party and become the third general secretary. Does Xi Jinping still want to be the fourth term? The answer is yes.
Since the 19th National Congress of the Communist Party of China, Xi Jinping has mentioned his “2035 vision” several times, which is actually a constant hint that he will continue to hold power for re-election until he can’t do it. In other words, Xi Jinping first broke the term limit of “public office”, and then broke the limit of “party position”, that is, he hopes to establish a “Xi Dynasty” ruled by him for life. Promoted to “Qing Ling Zu”.
But if he wants to be re-elected, he has to show his true skills to settle other challengers in the party, so winning Taiwan has become his sleeping pill to realize his “imperial dream”.
3. Taiwan sees through the CCP’s United Front and has no hope of winning Taiwan from within
The third reason is that the Taiwanese people have already seen through the hypocrisy and threat of the CCP’s United Front. The CCP has no hope of subverting Taiwan by infiltrating the United Front and taking the Taiwan regime from within, so Xi Jinping can only use force to solve it.
According to Taiwan polls, only 10% of Taiwanese have a favorable opinion of the CCP. In addition, the CCP has brutally suppressed Hong Kong in the past two years, as well as the decline of the Chinese economy and the relocation of enterprises. This makes the CCP even more interested in young people in Taiwan. lose appeal. Therefore, it has become more and more difficult for the CCP to use the old tricks of inducement and deception to engage in the United Front.
This is exactly reflected in Taiwan’s presidential elections in the past few years. The pro-Communist parties have lost time and again, and each time they have lost more and more ugly. The loss has made the CCP also give up from Taiwan to seize power through the electoral system.
That’s why the CCP has only recently publicly criticized the Kuomintang and denied that the “1992 Consensus” has a so-called “separate representation” and that there is only “one China”. Now it is rumored that the CCP wants to “solve the Taiwan issue” into the party constitution. These measures are equivalent to giving the Kuomintang an iron fist of socialism before the 9-in-1 election at the end of the year in Taiwan.
This is very different from what the CCP did on the eve of Taiwan’s elections in the past. This phenomenon also shows that the CCP no longer expects to use pro-Communist parties to seize power in Taiwan, and has fully moved towards the military line of “preparing for war and sending troops”. However, as long as the CCP does not use troops for a day, they will continue to support those pro-Communist politicians, allowing them to continue to create disputes and chaos within Taiwan, tear Taiwan apart from within, and weaken Taiwan’s people’s hearts and unity.
4. Truncating the first island chain to promote world hegemony
The fourth reason is that Xi Jinping wants to take Taiwan and cut off the blockade of the first island chain to advance his world hegemony of “rising in the east and descending in the west”.
In the past, Mao Zedong claimed to make China “stand up”, Deng Xiaoping claimed to “get rich”, and Xi Jinping claimed that he not only lifted China out of poverty, continued to “get rich”, but also “strengthened” during his tenure. Then, in his next term, he can only be stronger, right? Otherwise, how can we fight for more re-election? So to be stronger, you have to go overseas and show the CCP’s overseas power and strength to the Chinese people.
Therefore, one of the main reasons why Xi Jinping wants to take Taiwan is also to break through the anti-Communist defense line of the first island chain, project the CCP’s military power to the Pacific region, and directly threaten Japan, Australia, New Zealand, and even the United States, Canada and other free countries. Only then can the CCP’s negotiating position and influence in the world be improved, and its “Chinese Dream” of “looking at the world” can be realized.
Well, judging from the reasons just now, we are not surprised that Xi Jinping is likely to write “solving the Taiwan issue” into the party constitution, and he will mobilize the strength of the whole party and the whole country in his next term to achieve this goal.
But at this point, I would like to remind one more thing. In the past, we would feel that the CCP always said that it would send troops, but in the end it was just a “paper tiger” and did not dare to do anything. But recently the U.S. Congress just passed the Taiwan Policy Act, a signal to the CCP that may make them prepare for war more seriously. how to say? To understand this, we have to look at this from the perspective of the CCP and the thinking of party culture.
First of all, in the eyes of the CCP, they will feel that this is the US deliberately provoking Xi Jinping’s “people’s leader” status on the eve of the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China, and is using “arming Taiwan” and “supporting Taiwan” to challenge the party’s prestige. If the CCP does not take tougher actions, not only will the party and its leaders lose face, but they may also lose the legitimacy of “unifying Taiwan” in the future. Therefore, in order to avoid long nights and dreams, the CCP is likely to speed up preparations for war.
Furthermore, the Taiwan Policy Act this time clearly states that if the CCP invades Taiwan, the U.S. will impose various sanctions on the top officials of the CCP. But from the beginning to the end, there was no suggestion that the U.S. military should send troops to intervene in the Taiwan Strait, so for the CCP, they would think that the U.S. would likely adopt the “Ukraine” model to deal with the war in the Taiwan Strait, that is, it would donate a large amount of various armed equipment to Taiwan, but The U.S. military will not send troops, at least not anytime soon.
This is of course “good news” for the CCP. On the one hand, if the U.S. really does not send troops or sends troops slowly, the CCP will have a better chance of winning Taiwan; The news can be used to divide Taiwan’s trust in the United States and alienate the alliance between the United States and Taiwan. Therefore, some Taiwanese politicians are already playing up this point, intimidating the Taiwanese people by saying that “the United States will not send troops”, so don’t provoke the CCP and cannot trust the United States.
Also, the “Taiwan Policy Act” was promoted by the U.S. Congress. For the CCP, of course, it can incite nationalism at home, claiming that “the U.S. imperialists will not die if they kill me,” and now they support “Taiwan independence” to split the motherland. In this way, the CCP will not only have more legitimacy to use force, but also use its “patriotism” to manipulate more Chinese people, asking them to “sacrifice for the country” and “tolerate each other for the country.”
In particular, the CCP has recently implemented strict dynamic clearing and city closures across the country, making people suffer through hardships. In fact, they are already forcing the people to get used to a life in a state of war. As long as the CCP shouts out a few more national slogans such as “patriotism”, “unification of the motherland” or “washing away a century of national humiliation”, it will be easier to unify the fronts at home, and it will be more able to concentrate on fighting externally, no matter how many people are sacrificed. It doesn’t matter, because you can put all the blame on the US and Taiwan.
So, we need to understand one thing this time, that is, the international community has recently expressed its full support for Taiwan and helped Taiwan improve its military capabilities. This is definitely a good thing. But we can also look at things according to the CCP’s thinking. What will Xi Jinping and the CCP think and how to deal with such an international situation? In this way, we can better understand the situation and make countermeasures in advance.
Finally, in a simple sentence, the CCP definitely has the motive and plan to use force to attack Taiwan, but when and how to do it may still be “rolling unknowns.” But the Taiwan side must make the best preparations and prepare for the worst, and cannot underestimate the enemy. As Sun Tzu said in the Art of War, “If you don’t rely on the enemy, you won’t come, but if you rely on me to wait for him.” “world crossroads》
Okay, that’s all for today, thank you for watching, we’ll see you next time.
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Responsible editor: Li Hao#