Former Prime Minister Thaksin Shinawatra’s Release and Impact on Thai Politics

2024-02-14 13:02:19

It has been confirmed by those involved that former Prime Minister Thaksin Shinawatra is one of 930 people who will receive special suspensions. After receiving 1 in 3 or 6 months of punishment and not having to wear EM bracelets Because they are in the group of seriously ill or disabled or aged 70 years and over.

Thaksin, 74 years old, appears physically fit. While returning to set foot on Thai soil on August 22, 2023, to receive punishment according to the legal process. Was sentenced to 8 years in prison, but suddenly had health problems and became seriously ill. Had to be taken to the police hospital for treatment and stayed on the 14th floor like an angel prisoner from then on. until now and has never spent a single day in prison. or prisons are for imprisoning poor people As many people have come out to say

Amidst the criticism of people in society about why Thaksin Have special privileges And is it really sick? Because outsiders cannot go up to the 14th floor of the police hospital. To prove the truth that can be doubted. Until the day came that we had been waiting for to return home to Chansongla. Live with family together. It is expected that it will be February 18th or February 22nd at the latest.

along with the question of when Thaksin Gain back freedom over the common people What role will it play and what effect will it have on Thai politics? And will there be chaos in the country again like in the past? To be a flammable fuel Waiting for an eruption soon while the opposing mob He stared and waited for the moment to ignite the fire. And many situations have arisen during the time Thaksin will be free. It was as if a script had been written.

Continuing to look at the political scene after Thaksin gained freedom.

All the doubts Let’s look at the analysis of Prof. Dr. Nanthana Nanthawaropas, Dean of the College of Political Communication at Krirk University, who sees that it depends on Thaksin. When it comes out, in what direction will its role be determined? If you come out and interview the media Has a position in determining the direction of Thai politics. and plan it like this will make people dissatisfied Due to a period of 6 months, he claimed to be seriously ill. Didn’t go to prison for even a day.

“When I came out and said I would do this and that. People will feel that they are out of public view. If you hide away Not launched yet Not showing any role Then wait for it to be quiet and then come out, which will weaken the current of people’s dissatisfaction. And that makes people think that they are really sick. It doesn’t seem realistic. It depends on Thaksin to determine his role and how he will communicate. If it has power It will make many people dissatisfied. A reaction occurred. And now the mob is coming out.”

In addition, people also keep an eye on Thaksin’s release date is likely to be February 18th. He will be released from hospital or prison, which also has implications. If you are released from the hospital In the end, he was considered a privileged person. Never been in prison and with Thaksin’s normal personality Not idle, likes directing performances It may turn out that this government has two or three prime ministers and the spotlight will probably shine on Thaksin. probably exerting full force in pushing for digital wallet policy Because it is a policy that is likely to gain votes for the Pheu Thai Party.

Thaksin’s freedom on February 18th seems related to the Digital Wallet Board meeting on February 15th. If Prime Minister Settha Thavisin confirms that he will definitely do it no matter what happens. Will push forward to overcome various obstacles. from various independent organizations and will see Thaksin playing a role in using power to push Because of the power of wealth Unable to push for decision on big matters such as interest rates Even using communication for the Bank of Thailand to put pressure on MPC cuts interest rates It can’t be done.

“If Settha fails to make a digital wallet. You may have to sacrifice yourself to take responsibility. May change the Prime Minister You may see it after May 11th, which is the day when the Senate will lose power. It is another pinpoint that something will change. Because the Senate will be released from the temporary role in voting for the Prime Minister. It will be a matter for the council only. There is no obstacle to Ink-Pae Thongthan. Became the Prime Minister

The trend for Section 112 has begun to create cracks in society.

One interesting signal from the phenomenon surrounding the amendment of Section 112 is that it is related to the emergence of Thaksin. and if the images are connected to the same image After the Constitutional Court ruled that amending Section 112 was a subversion of the government. There began to be a reaction in the conservative wing. Whoever changes Section 112 will not receive amnesty. It is equivalent to dividing the prisoners into 2 groups, which is not a reconciliation at all. And there was the issue of disturbances in the royal procession. will be linked to conservative groups There is a push for loyalty.

“Catching reporters It’s an old story from 1 year ago. It just came to light until it became a big deal in the eyes of foreign media. It’s a matter of freedom. Even if bail is given later But it seems like they are beginning to point out the direction of the conservative group. To prevent the amendment of Section 112 and create an overall picture of different thinking among people in society. You will see another picture of people giving importance. Starting to look at the fact that now there are cracks between the two groups of people again.”

Whatever will happen will not be good for the political atmosphere. Try to have different ideas, not let the two sides meet in this moment. It creates a specific amnesty trend that has nothing to do with Section 112 and tries to bring matters related to amending Section 112 into conflict. It will make society start to have a different perspective. and will say that along with Thaksin it will come out at a similar time. We have to see what the atmosphere and different ideas will be like. and conservative groups Will the issue be able to be spread widely? Since the police recently arrested a journalist It’s like opening an issue. We must continue to keep an eye on the divisions in the country. It’s like it was created during Thaksin’s reign. About to come out.

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