2. Ayutthaya: Needle 1 79% Needle 3 55%
- 19-day-lag Weekly Death Rate = 0.04%
- Spot Weekly Death Rate = 0.06%
- 4 weeks median mortality = 0.07%
3. Chiang Mai: Needle 1 80% Needle 3 38%
- 19-day-lag Weekly Death Rate = 0.04%
- Spot Weekly Death Rate = 0.08%
- 4 weeks median mortality = 0.14%
4. Chiang Rai: Needle 1 72% Needle 3 32%
- 19-day-lag Weekly Death Rate = 0.05%
- Spot Weekly Death Rate = 0.08%
- 4 weeks median mortality = 0.11%
5. Ubon Ratchathani: Needle 1 76% Needle 3 28%
- 19-day-lag Weekly Death Rate = 0.06%
- Spot Weekly Death Rate = 0.03%
- 4 weeks median mortality = 0.08%
6. Khon Kaen: Needle 1 76% Needle 3 33%
- 19-day-lag Weekly Death Rate = 0.08%
- Spot Weekly Death Rate = 0.12%
- 4 weeks median mortality = 0.11%
7. Uthai Thani: Needle 1 74% Needle 3 33%
- 19-day-lag Weekly Death Rate = 0.10%
- Spot Weekly Death Rate = 0.11%
- 4 weeks median mortality = 0.28%
8. Korat: Needle 1 73% Needle 3 34%
- 19-day-lag Weekly Death Rate = 0.13%
- Spot Weekly Death Rate = 0.17%
- 4 weeks median mortality = 0.21%
9. Rayong: Needle 1 90% Needle 3 52%
- 19-day-lag Weekly Death Rate = 0.25%
- Spot Weekly Death Rate = 0.34%
- 4 weeks median mortality = 0.34%
10. Phuket: Needle 1 95% Needle 3 84%
- 19-day-lag Weekly Death Rate = 0.25%
- Spot Weekly Death Rate = 0.42%
- 4 weeks median mortality = 0.26%
Average of 10 provinces:
Total population 13,204,772 people
New infections including PCR+ATK average 9,345 people per day.
Total 8 deaths per day
death rate
- 19-day-lag Weekly Death Rate average 0.07%
- Spot Weekly Death Rate = 0.08%
- 4 weeks median mortality = 0.13%
Conclusion: Good News
From representative provinces who believe that they are very diligent in detecting the infection, such as Chonburi, Ayutthaya, Chiang Mai, Chiang Rai, the mortality rate has dropped to 0.05% even though the booster can only be injected at 30%, that is, if the booster can be compressed up to 60 % chance of mortality will drop further until reaching 0.02 – 0.03%
The average of 10 provinces with a total population of 13.2 million people have had a mortality rate of 0.07%, dropping below 0.1%. especially in provinces where the percentage of vaccine is very high The numbers shouldn’t be worse than provinces with fewer vaccines.
Looking at the final arc, Endemic:
I think Endemic conditions < 0.1% are already on target with the national average 40% booster vaccine levels. and will continue to improve the rest is The government had to successfully combine the actual number of infections and use it to calculate. It should be a number that is close and can be used as an Endemic condition.
The rest is hopeful that the number of infected people, which is now reduced to 1/10 every 50 days. That is, during 1 August 2022 we will be Endemic at a mortality rate of < 0.05%.
And there are about 5,000 real new infections a day, and less than 100 intubated patients. If nothing turns up like the new supervirus, these two months are the last curve and it’s really over. It’s over for all. person