Keep an eye on China’s moves after Ma Ying-jeou, former president of Taiwan, visits. Focus on soft wood with Taiwan Hope the Kuomintang Party wins early next year’s elections. Paving the way for peaceful reunification as Tsai Ing-wen travels to Central America and take the opportunity to visit the United States According to the American game that hopes to use Taiwan to block China But Taiwan lost allies. Because those countries want to escape from Western influences. then turn to the path of development by turning to China
in the list “Talk about everything with Sonthi.” On Friday, March 31, Mr. Sonthi Limthongkul, founder of the newspaper “Manager Group” He mentioned the situation of China-Taiwan, where there will be an election in Taiwan at the beginning of next year. While China has used a new diplomatic policy to offend Taiwan.
There are three areas of China-Taiwan relations that must be closely watched. The first is former Taiwan President Ma Ying-jeou’s visit to China, the former president’s first visit to the mainland since the breakup. together 74 years ago
The second story is that the current President of Taiwan, Ms Tsai Ing-wen, has visited Guatemala and Belize, a country in Central America, and will take the opportunity to visit the United States and will also meet with US Congress President Kevin McCarthy.
The third is that Honduras has announced that it has cut diplomatic ties with Taiwan and will return to ties with China.
If we look at all 3 situations at the same time and line them together, we can see that deep down this is China’s Go strategy.
Chinese moves are not chess moves that walk and kill with pawns and ships and horses, but a move of siege.
All these things China has done to achieve the goal of peaceful reunification is a word and a philosophical principle that will never go away from China, that the reunification of Taiwan is a historical mission that must be realized and can be made possible. True, because when the army liberated the people to seize China and expels Taiwan from China, the final mission remains, including Taiwan, which is part of China back under the rule of China.
Mainland China wants to see a shift in power in Taiwan from Tsai Ing-wen’s Democratic Progressive Party, which has a stand against Taiwan independence. elected to rule Taiwan
Ma Yingjiu visits mainland China
Returning to Ma Yingjiu’s visit to mainland China at the time For 8 years, Ma Ying-jiu has led Taiwan, what are the best relations with mainland China in history?
There is a direct flight between each other. There is no need to change the device in Hong Kong or Japan, like in the past, Taiwanese people were able to visit their own relatives in the mainland, China, students from China, received scholarships to study in Taiwan. 80,000 Taiwanese businessmen go to do business in China and get the same rights as Chinese people, not being restricted by investment conditions as foreign investors.
In addition, Chinese tourists go to Taiwan a lot. Businesses related to tour companies, hotels, shops in Taiwan have more income from Chinese tourists than Thailand. Taiwan spends less time and can still speak Mandarin to each other.
Ma Ying-jeou met President Xi Jinping for the first time in November. 2015 in Singapore marked a historic meeting between the leaders of the two territories while both remained in power.
But after Ms. Tsai Ing-wen came to lead Taiwan, relations with China deteriorated so much that the Taiwan Strait was written by foreign media such as The Economist as the most dangerous place in the world.
Ma Ying-jeou is the man who knows China-Taiwan relations the best. He has been in charge of Chinese affairs since his youth before he left for China. “I’ve been in charge of Chinese affairs since I was 37. Today I’m 73 years old. 36 years old, when I have the opportunity to visit mainland China, I will pay respects to my ancestors, bring Taiwanese students to exchange with Chinese students, hoping that the new generation will resolve the atmosphere of divisions and bring peace to the two countries as soon as possible.
China has wanted Ma Ying-jeou to visit since he left Taiwan’s leadership last year. 2016, but Ms. Tsai Ing-wen issued an order prohibiting him from leaving the country for as long as 5 years referring to national secrets and security
This time, Mr. Ma Yingjiu visited China this time during March 27th to April 7, about 11-12 days, he will go to Nanjing, Wuhan, Changsha, Chongqing. (in Sichuan Province) and Shanghai
In addition to paying respects to his ancestors, visiting family-related sites, he will also visit historical sites during the founding of the Republic of China. Zhongshan, recognized by both the Kuomintang and the Chinese as a national figure.
He will also visit sites related to the Anti-Japanese War, especially the city of Nanjing.
The implication of visiting this historic site is to show that the Kuomintang and the Communist Party of China had cooperated against Japan in the past, it seems to imply that in the past they could cooperate today and tomorrow.
The story in Japan invaded Chinese, the government, Choi Ing Wen, turned to rely on Japan, former Prime Minister Abe, who had died, said that Taiwan has a danger to Japan, and the Japanese Prime Minister Fu Mio Kichida said today. ukraine next taiwan
Although Ma Yingjiu is not scheduled to visit Beijing or meet with President Xi Jinping, Beijing is expected to send a senior official to meet him, possibly Wang Huning, chairman of the National Political Consultative Conference. China, which is a very high position or Mr. Ting Xuexiang, Deputy Prime Minister and most importantly, he is a close friend of President Xi Jinping.
In addition to the former President of Jiu, this year, there will be many important people in the Taiwan industry that China has planned to visit China a lot, including private organizations, academics, various experts, cultural agents, political groups, which may including members of Ms Tsai Ing-wen’s political party
These representatives of Taiwan will be well received by China as a gesture of goodwill, a purchase of alignment with China that will most certainly result in a major election in early 2024.
Tsai Ing-wen visits the US during a visit to Central America.
At the same time, Mrs. Chai Ing Wen traveled to Gutemala and Berce, in Central America, but the true goal of this journey was America, but according to the only Chinese policy that America certified, Taiwanese leaders were unable to travel. An official visit to the United States can only be a stopover.
US stopover Tsai Ing-wen is expected to meet with US Congress Speaker Kevin McCarthy, to whom the Chinese side has expressed great displeasure because such a meeting poses a challenge to China like Nancy Phe. Former U.S. House Speaker Lo Si visited Taiwan and afterwards the Chinese military conducted weeks-long lockdown maneuvers in retaliation.
Since the war on Ukraine, the United States and the West have continuously sent politicians to Taiwan as if to show that Taiwan must be a second battleground besides Ukraine, or when Ukraine is likely to lose to Russia, the United States will throw all its forces. To make a whistle on the island of Taiwan to cause unrest in the Asia-Pacific region and to block China by default
All this America tried to write a tiger to cow fear that China plans to invade Taiwan soon. Director of Intelligence CIA chief William Byrne says China will invade Taiwan in about a year. 2027 or around Over the next four years, Mr. Anthony Blinken supported the director’s predictions. CIA, and he himself said he was the US secretary of state who signed the largest number of arms deals in Taiwan on record.
But in fact, China has never announced a timetable or schedule for the invasion of Taiwan, China only insists on principles. “Peaceful reunification”, but with the exception of not giving up the right to use force if necessary.
At the first press conference by China’s new Foreign Minister Qin Gang, Qin Gang called Taiwan a brother and sister and warned Taiwan, especially Ms Tsai Ing-wen, not to underestimate the potential of the Chinese military. Too, he also said that if there was a real war, the United States would destroy Taiwan before the Chinese army invaded Taiwan.
When looking at it today, it can be seen that China’s attitude is divided into two parts, both solid and soft, adhering to the principle of peaceful reunification, but not starting a fire to create conflict to prevent Western nations from selling arms to Taiwan to unify. Neither will political parties in Taiwan spark threats from China for political gain, especially in the lead-up to the election.
Therefore, in this period, China will use soft wood all the time to welcome the new election in March next year. What is the result of the election?
China-Taiwan relations deteriorate, causing Tsai Ing-wen’s defense budget to skyrocket
The end of Taiwan’s relations with Honduras left Taiwan as an ally. 13 nations, China has 181 nations with diplomatic relations In the era of President Tsai Ing-wen, Taiwan lost many allies. 8 Countries that End Relations with Taiwan
Taiwan’s foreign ministry accused Honduras of cutting ties with Taiwan because it was currency diplomacy, accusing Honduras of extorting Taiwan’s money too much.
The irony of the fact is that during the Tsai Ing-wen era, Taiwan lost a lot of its allies but spent a lot more money on foreign affairs, defense and intelligence.
In the era when Ma Ying-jeou was the president of Taiwan, diplomatic relations were maintained, and its role in the international arena increased. international (ICAO) Foreign and defense budgets declined during the Ma Yingjeu era.
During Ma Yingjiu’s time, he used foreign budgets. 24 billion Taiwan dollars, but Tsai Ing-wen’s government spends more foreign budget. 30 billion Taiwan dollars, the defense budget increased in the era of Mrs. Tsai Ing-wen2 Doubling the intelligence budget has increased dramatically.
Tsai Ing-wen’s government and Western nations claim that China solicits money to buy Taiwan’s allies in order to narrow Taiwan’s place on the world stage, but China’s Go is much more mysterious.
The nations that have diplomatic relations with Taiwan are all countries in Central and South America. In the Pacific Islands, these countries are all under the influence of America and Australia. face or lose allies but reduce the influence of America and Australia.
An example of Honduras that has recently broken relations with Taiwan and came under one China is mainland China.
Honduras was intervened by the United States until there was a coup d’état, chaos, mafia gangs until economic development was not only selling coffee beans, bananas, seafood, what Honduras wanted was not just money to help build a hospital, build a dam, but economic development linked to the country. with the world’s 2nd largest economy
There are many more countries like Honduras. These countries have been intervened by Western powers and drained of resources. Standing with China is not because of currency diplomacy, as Tsai Ing-wen’s government accuses, but rather of walking away from political domination. West enters development path
“China and Taiwan have previously reached an agreement called the Consensus Year. 1992 is the basic principle that has a model relationship. “Seeking common ground, preserving differences,” a conflict that escalated because Ms Tsai Ing-wen did not accept consensus. 1992 and drew a war into the house for foreigners to intervene, forcing China to have a tougher attitude.
“China has always insisted that the China-Taiwan matter is a domestic matter, like brothers and sisters who quarreled and split up the house, which had to find a way to talk between Chinese people with each other, not allowing outsiders like America or the West or Japan to stir up sideways leaks and find results. benefits from conflicts,” said Mr. Sonthi.