2023-10-15 09:37:00
Bart De Bruyn, professor of mathematics at UGent, decided to reveal his secrets to Laatste Nieuws.
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He has in fact calculated the possible returns and the chances of winning for popular draw and scratch games. First, there is the Lotto. “In 2022, 95,806,065 Lotto winners will have shared a total winnings of 998,067,686 euros. The chances of hitting the jackpot are extremely low, estimated at one in eight million. To have a 1% chance of winning the Lotto jackpot, you have to play every week for approximately 1,569 years. Want to reach 50% chance? You then have to buy a lottery ticket every week for 108,200 years.”
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What about the extra Lotto? “If you play long enough and regularly, you will undoubtedly win small amounts from time to time that will far exceed the current stakes. But you should expect that you will end up losing in total. Therefore, if you participate in these games, it is better to do it as a kind of hobby or for gambling and not for winning. »
Tomorrow Friday, there will be nearly 55 million to be won in EuroMillions. What does Professor Bart think? “Since 2004, 38 Belgians have won among the lucky winners of EuroMillions. Last March, a compatriot won the astronomical sum of 144,966,361 euros. When you buy a weekly Euromillions ticket, you must play 1,857,669 to have a 50% chance of winning the jackpot,” he says.
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Het Laatste Nieuws then talks about Keno, Subito. In Keno, you lose on average almost half of your bet. But the chances of winning this game are also higher. “With Keno seven, you “barely” have to play every week for three years to have a 1% chance of winning a theoretical 3,000 euros. »
With Subito, it’s even better: “For 100 euros spent on Subito scratch tickets at 1 euro, you can hope to recover on average 63.10 euros. At Subito €3, it’s 66.92 euros, at Subito €5, it’s 70.32 euros, at Subito €10, it’s 72.84 euros and at Subito Twist, it’s 68.14 euros “.
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Win For Life is a different story. “With a 1 euro note, you have a 1 chance in 4.09 of winning a sum of money, with a 3 euro note, it’s 1 chance in 3.89 and with a deposit of 10 euros, it’s is a 1 in 3.15 chance. With Win for Life, the amount of the winnings of course depends on the life expectancy of the winner, and therefore on their age,” adds Mr. De Bruyn.
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