Medical Genome Center answers 10 questions. Will Omicron “BA.2” last a long time and become extinct?

The Medical Genome Center answers 10 questions to the public about whether Omicron “BA.2” will stay in Thailand for a long time. And will it go extinct?

On February 23, 65, the Facebook page of the Medical Genome Center Faculty of Medicine Ramathibodi Hospital Post a message through Center for Medical Genomics To answer questions and relieve doubts from people who have doubts about Omicron “BA.2” during this period which updated the latest information on 23/2/2565, stating that

1. How long will Omicron spread in Thailand?

From the study of the nature of the outbreak of “Oh Micron“It has been found that the duration of outbreaks in each country in the world is no more than two months, with each country having unequal number of new infections per 1 million inhabitants.

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2. There will be a new coronavirus 2019 mutant.Oh Micronor not

There is a high probability that a new species has mutated rather than the omicron epidemic has replaced it.Oh Micronin the next 3-6 months

3. When will the 2019 coronavirus outbreak become endemic?

The WHO Director-General said the Acute Pandemic could end by mid-2022 if at least 70 percent of the world’s people were vaccinated with the vaccine.

4. If Omicron does not cause mild (mild) infections, why do people die from Omicron?

People with Omicron are milder compared to delta (more severe). While most cases are asymptomatic, a small percentage (0.9%) will experience severe illness requiring hospitalization. or even death

5. There are reports that Omicron is highly contagious. After all, everyone on the planet will be infected with Omicron. Is this information correct? And if this information is correct, what are we going to have to follow for COVID-19 prevention measures?

The World Health Organization’s (WHO) Dr Maria Van Kerkov has said that Omicron is highly contagious, but “doesn’t mean or necessarily mean” everyone on the planet will be infected with Omicron. Finally, the WHO is making every effort to work with agencies to reduce the chances of infection for people around the world. Vaccines are the most effective tools available today, but they are not 100% effective in preventing infection. Up to 55.9% of people who have been vaccinated can become infected with omicron (vaccine breakthrough cases), so we need to take steps to protect ourselves in parallel with vaccination, that is, everyone protects themselves from contact with objects or others distance from the second person Wear a mask to cover your nose and mouth. wash your hands avoid the crowd Work from home if you can. Get tested regularly with ATK or PCR. This is how we can keep ourselves safe and protect ourselves from infection and spreading the virus to others.

In addition, the study of the nature of the outbreak of “Omicron” found that the outbreak in each country around the world lasts no more than 2 months, so Omicron does not last long enough to infect the whole country. or the whole world

But if we say that during our lifetime we have a chance to be infected with one of the 2019 corona virus strains. seems closer to the truth

6. Why is it necessary to reduce the Omicron epidemic?

The WHO says we must reduce the Omicron epidemic for four reasons.

– We want to prevent people from getting infected because there is a 0.9 percent risk of getting severe coronavirus that requires hospitalization or death.

-Some recovered infected people are at risk of long-term consequences. This is what we call long covid and we still don’t quite understand the mechanism of “long covid” that will lead to treatment.

– The large number of infections in the nation will be a huge burden on the national health and economic system.

– The more Omicron, there is an epidemic between themselves to a wide range of people. more opportunities for the virus to mutate New species to emerge must have mutated more than omicrons. and better evade immunity so that the epidemic can replace Omicron The cause of COVID-19 Of the new species will be more or less severe is still unpredictable.

Therefore, we need to work together to reduce the epidemic of Omicron.

-Why is Denmark seeing a huge increase in new infections compared to other countries?

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Denmark is a case study. Around the world, looking to see if it may be used. The number of omicron BA.2 cases has increased despite vaccination as high as 88% of the population, partly due to “Denmark” being the first country in Europe to relax all Covid-19 measures, including Regulations for wearing masks and physical distancing after Danish health authorities have vaccinated more than 80% of the population.

The Danish public health agency estimates that Covid-19 outbreak It is not a disease that is a serious danger in society anymore. because although the number of infected people in Denmark is increasing But the constant death toll has no effect on the public health system. This is because Denmark has a high vaccination rate. More than 80% of the population aged 5 years and over have received 2 doses of vaccination, and about 60 percent have received a third dose of vaccination.

8. Danish Public Health Authority “wrong decision” to cancel all Covid-19 measures since February 1, 2022, causing both new cases and more deaths.

After Denmark lifted all Covid-19 measures, the number of new cases from BA.2 soared and reached its peak on February 14, 2022, and has since started to decline.

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The State Serum Institute (SSI), Denmark’s equivalent of the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), has announced that the overall number of deaths in Denmark “Constantly not increasing”

In the final months of 2021, Denmark recorded more than expected deaths among older people over 75 years due to delta infections.

However, starting from week 1 of 2022, the mortality rate in Denmark has declined and is now close to normal despite the increase in Denmark’s positive PCR test results. Indicates that the number of deaths due to omicron is actually lower. and less than the mortality risk from past delta.

9. If the death rate due to omicron is real, why is the number of deaths in Denmark obtained from “Our World in data” (from Oxford University) during the Delta outbreak? and the omicron epidemic is so close

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SSI explained that the number of deaths in Denmark obtained from its “Our World in data” combines two groups of deaths: (1) deaths from other causes but PCR to cattle. COVID-19 is positive (deaths with) because of the Covid-19 outbreak. and (2) deaths by COVID-19 (Figure 4).

Medical Genome Center answers 10 questions. How long will the Omicron epidemic last in Thailand?

If you look at only the deaths due to omicron, the number is reduced and less than the number of deaths due to delta (Figure 4).

10. How do you know if someone has died from coronavirus disease 2019?

The Danish Public Health Authority has investigated whether the deceased had received the antiviral drugs Remdesivir and/or and Dexamethasone. This is the standard treatment for COVID-19 in Denmark.

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