On August 11, 2022, Prof. Dr. Yong Phuworawan or “Mor Yong” Head of the center specializing in clinical virology Department of Pediatrics Faculty of Medicine Chulalongkorn University Posted a message saying “Covid-19” We cannot escape the laws of nature.
by M.Yong or Prof. Dr. Yong Phuworawan revealed that in the past, there were many serious disease outbreaks, such assmallpox, plague and knowledge of medicine is not as modern as it is today We were able to get past each other until today. The epidemic will not last as long. Covid-19 at present
according to the rules of evolution Rabbits used to damage agricultural crops. Humans therefore use a virus that causes severe disease in rabbits to death. and a plague on the rabbits As a result, many rabbits died. But there are some that are resistant to this virus and are left to breed later. increase the same amount
Looking back on past outbreaks Most outbreaks last a year. There is a lot of contact, such as cholera in the reign of King Rama 2 or the Spanish flu in the reign of King Rama 6, the epidemic lasts only one year. It turns into a seasonal disease. But there is a considerable loss, especially in vulnerable groups, about 1 percent of the population.
We estimate that influenza At 3 years, almost everyone will have one, and at 9 years on average it will have all three influenza A (H1N1, H3N2) and B. before The first dose of life must be given 2 times, 1 month apart, but if someone is over 9 years old, they are considered to have been infected with the flu. Vaccination will be a single booster. Covid 19 is probably the same. If it takes 3 years, most people are likely to have been infected most of the time.
At present, our medicine is better. The epidemic, we have been fighting it all along. lengthening the duration of the outbreak And in the end, most of the population would probably have been infected with the disease. Like influenza, a viral disease, mostly in children, the symptoms are mild. Symptoms are more severe in vulnerable groups.
We have extended the epidemic to two and a half years to allow for development, treatment, prevention.vaccine Now it is known that Vaccines cannot prevent infection. but to reduce the severity late outbreak So there are many infected people. may be in the number of tens of thousands If including infected people have few or no symptoms and did not check It could be a hundred thousand. The problem of the disease is therefore in the fragile specific group. The number of hospital stays is 2,000 – 3,000 people, 20-30 deaths.
“We accept the fact that This disease will be with us forever. and will be able to live together The virus will hurt us less. We have a better immune system. who have been vaccinated against infection and have better medicine The loss rate will be lower. Like any other respiratory disease especially in children when it is Grow up, it will have immunity. And if infected, the severity of the disease will be less.”
However “Mor Yong” states that COVID-19 is changing from “Dangerous communicable diseases” to “communicable diseases that must be monitored” When there is an outbreak of COVID-19 The disease is quite severe. spreading rapidly around the world And there are many deaths. Covid-19 is therefore listed as the 14th most dangerous communicable disease in the Communicable Diseases Act.
Over the past two years, the severity of the disease began to decrease. Although it is still easy to spread The future will not be different from the flu. So we have heard that on October 1 there will be a reduction in the level of COVID-19. from dangerous infectious diseases become a contagious disease that must be monitored as well as influenza and 55 other diseases on October 1
Future care for COVID-19 It would be, like any other respiratory disease, believed to be COVID-19. There will be better medicines to come, and critical care will be focused on vulnerable groups with chronic comorbidities.
source Yong Poovorawan