| Author | Lalita Hanwong |
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Thailand meets Burma: the new Burmese government after the election
The next elections in Burma are expected to take place around August this year. Since 2010, general elections have usually taken place towards the end of the year. and gradually forming a government at the beginning of the year If adhering to the policy of the Election Commission (UEC) that the junta set up with their hands As many as 17 political parties are expected to contest the election after the Myanmar Election Commission announced that political parties contesting this year’s elections must return to party registration. If this rule is violated The party will be dissolved and permanently deprived of political rights. Of course, the political party opposing the army. where most of the leaders are in prison, like the NLD, which is the largest party would be dissolved and unable to compete in the elections
Looking back at the 2010 elections, the USDP (Union Solidarity Development Party) had just emerged on the initiative of the military leadership and the leadership of the SPDC, or military government, led by Senior General Than Shwe. Politics that are not conducive to the growth of democracy is announcing to the world that Burma is entering an era of political reform. and want to try to bring democracy to use With the trend of democracy and human rights being strong at that time and Burma faces chronic economic problems. At the same time, he wanted to drain the enormous resources he had. Opening the door to the free world Therefore, it is useful to the Burmese Army itself as well.
For ten years, some people in Burma have breathed a breath of democracy. The military’s stance is like in a parallel world, or “multiverse”, because we still hear the news of human rights violations in ethnic areas. The civil war continues whether Burma is democratic or not. The important thing is that even though there is a political party like the NLD that is considered the highest symbol of the people. Despite having a government leader, it is an icon of global democracy.
As long as the civilian government does not try to reduce the power of the military. that is like a state in a state Or like a reign with two kings crossing power in the history of the world. The idea of having two leaders coming from opposite poles. Also known as diarchy or duumvirate, it has been seen throughout the world’s history. But in many cases it failed and led to a civil war. This was seen in Russia after the first revolution in February 1917, where power was clashed between the acting governments that pledged allegiance to the tsar. and the Petrograd Soviet Council of Workers’ and Military Representatives. or the communists that oppose the tsarist regime but with extreme ideological differences The Russian Revolution finally took place in the same year. It marked the end of the Romanov dynasty that ruled the Russian Empire for three centuries.
all said to see that two tigers could never live in the same cave In the future, if Burma will return to democracy and break the coup cycle so that the army will not be able to return to power in politics again The army must be reformed. and create professional soldiers to replace soldiers driven by nationalist ideology and racist fascism by ethnic Burmese army leaders. If the People’s Protection Forces (PDF) are unable to seize the upper hand and are unable to dictate the Burma Army in the next few years, it is feared that Burma will take a long step back. and will be under the rule of a government led by the USDP for a long time to come.
Now let’s see how in the elections later this year. What will happen after the Election Commission has announced the list of political parties that have the right to compete in this election? The only USDP party that is big, moneyy, and has the highest potential.
in ethnic areas In the most recent 2015 elections, behind the NLD and USDP were the large ethnic groups Shan Nationalities League for Democracy (SNLD), Arakan National Party (ANP), Pa-O National Organization (PNO) and Six other minor parties, but this time only the PNO has been endorsed by the Election Commission, so this year’s election results are not difficult to predict. With almost every popular political party in the Bahma-majority populated districts. or areas of other ethnic groups All of them have been dissolved, so the USDP will win the election. and the majority of seats in the House of Assembly
In addition to the 25 percent of seats in the House of Commons the 2008 constitution reserves for the military. Representatives from the USDP are all ex-military generals. or politicians with far-right nationalist ideologies In this election, the army will have its own people to sit in the council not less than 80 percent. Called a “superland slide”, it would not be wrong, but the rules The Myanmar Election Commission was set up for this election, contributing to the military nominee party called after the election. The more legitimate the military becomes, both administrative and legislative. on the part of the judiciary It’s nothing to worry about. Because the army has brought its own people to sit as judges and prosecutors almost all.
The author considers The situation in Myanmar that many people are worried about. will become even more worrisome when the election is held And the majority of people in parliament are almost all representatives from the army. The legislation that the council will enact in the coming years will be legislation that benefits the military. and funding groups that support the army Especially the law that allows the military to buy more weapons. and the legitimacy of the armed forces in suppressing opposition groups But Burma doesn’t seem to care about the West. or ASEAN much
In the past, the coup d’état and the Burmese army chose to connect with great friends who were ready to be with them. Whether it’s a relationship for benefits like Russia, China or Thailand, or just showing that they don’t disdain the Burmese coup d’etat. (openly) as in the case of India Just this, the leaders of the Burmese army felt “fluffy” and reinforced the traditional nationalist notion that Burma didn’t need many friends. Just be a friend who understands and treats Burma equally.