[Police Times Xue Xiulian/Taipei Report]
newThe election for the mayor of Zhushi has heated up, and the competition pattern of the blue-green-white “three-legged governor” has taken shape. According to the report of the “Shangbao”, a poll report privately commissioned by a local technology leader in Hsinchu revealed that the Kuomintang Lin Gengren was bullish after the election. He won 31.2% of the support and jumped to the first place, winning the support of the Democratic Progressive Party Shen Huihong. The degree of support was 21.8%, and the support of the People’s Party Gao Hongan was 19.6%. The gap widened to 9.4 and 11.6 percentage points respectively. In particular, the DPP’s support plummeted by about 10 percentage points due to the “change of generals” turmoil.
The poll was conducted by telephone from June 23 to 27. The sampling method included local and mobile phones. There were 1,100 valid samples (556 for local calls and 544 for mobile phones). Under the 95% confidence level, the maximum error was not less than More than plus or minus 2.99 percentage points.
The poll first conducted a survey on the popularity of the candidates in the three groups of blue, green and white. The results showed that Lin Gengren was the most well-known. As many as 78.1% of the respondents said that they “know or know” Lin Gengren, and Shen Huihong ranked 68.1%. Gao Hongan ranked third with 66.8%.
In terms of candidate evaluation scores (1 to 10 points), Lin Gengren also won the first place with an average score of 6.17, followed by Gao Hongan with 5.7 points and Shen Huihong with 5.58 points.
According to the “Shangbao”, the poll pointed out that if compared with the previous poll two months ago (April 21-25), the support degree of Zheng Honghui, a candidate for the DPP and adviser to the Executive Yuan at that time, was as high as 31.8 %, followed by Lin Gengren with 25.6% and Gao Hongan with 21.6%. However, after the DPP’s “change of generals” was replaced by Shen Huihong to replace Zheng Honghui, and Lin Gengren officially qualified for the nomination of the Kuomintang, Lin Gengren’s support reversed and jumped to the first place.
The poll revealed that Lin Gengren had an increase of about 6 percentage points compared with the survey two months ago, and the gap between the two female generals Shen and Gao exceeded the margin of error. Although Shen Huihong ranked second, her support plummeted by about 10 percentage points compared to Zheng Honghui. As for Gao Hongan, although there was no significant change, it also dropped slightly by 2 percentage points.
It is worth mentioning that the poll conducted a survey on the people who “must not support”. The results showed that 40.2% of Lin Gengren’s supporters said they would definitely not support Shen Huihong, and 16.7% would not support Gao Hongan. Among Shen Huihong’s supporters, 30.6% will definitely not support Lin, and 28.8% will not support Gao, which shows that the separation between blue and green is obvious, but Lin Gengren and Gao Hongan’s supporters have a high overlap. Among them, 4.7% of the respondents said that they “don’t support it”, and 22.7% of those who said “undecided” and “don’t know/refuse to answer”.
With the formal determination of the candidates for the blue-green-white “three-legged governor”, new changes will take place in the Battle of the Windy City at the end of the year. After the election, Lin Gengren’s situation is bullish. Local people analyze the main reasons for three reasons: one is the past administrative achievements; the other is Lin Gengren’s good political achievements Let him win the unanimous support of the Kuomintang group; the third is that Lin Gengren is familiar with the bamboo science and technology circle, and has a vision for how the industry can drive urban development. For example, in April last year, Hon Hai founder Guo Taiming announced his candidacy for the presidential election. Immediately after the station, I went to visit the Zhushi Military Dependents’ Village Museum. The trip was arranged and personally accompanied by Lin Gengren.
original news source The Kuomintang Lin Gengren leads the polls in the mayoral election of Hsinchu police times.