People in Pingtan, China, took pictures of the People’s Liberation Army launching missiles into the Taiwan Strait, but experts analyzed that there were two serious flaws in the shooting. Figure: Retrieved from Telegram (file photo)
US House of Representatives Speaker Nancy Pelosi arrived in Taiwan on the 2nd, arousing strong dissatisfaction in China, announcing that military exercises would be held in the six regions surrounding Taiwan, which would be tantamount to “blocking Taiwan”. The People’s Liberation Army launched 11 ballistic missiles on the 4th, of which 4 crossed the sky over Taiwan. Jie Zhong, a researcher at the China Strategic Foresight Association, analyzed that there were two shortcomings in this shooting, and the PLA’s missile force has not yet reached the ideal tactical level.
According to a report by “Radio Free Asia” on the 6th, Jie Zhong quoted information from the Japanese Ministry of Defense that among the 11 missiles launched by the People’s Liberation Army, 9 of them were fired at about 13:56, 14:14 and 14:57 Taipei time. Shoot in four waves from 15:5 to 15:8.
He believes that in this shooting, when the PLA has two defects, the first is that the interval between each wave of missile launches is not too short, the shortest is 8 minutes between the third and fourth waves, and the longest is the second and third waves. 43 minutes between waves. Jie Zhong bluntly said that this does not meet the CCP’s own requirements for live-fire training, because the shorter the interval between missiles, the better. If the two missiles are separated by 30 minutes, the national army will have the opportunity to leave Hong Kong as soon as possible. “A ground vehicle can travel very far in 30 minutes, not to mention that if it is a fighter plane, 30 minutes has already gone far.”
Jie Zhong further explained that in actual combat, the firing interval is too long, which is like using firepower one by one and sporadically, which will only give the enemy time to recover and reorganize from the shock after being attacked by the previous wave. In tactics, it should be regarded as Serious error.
Second, Jie Zhong pointed out that the 9 missiles announced by the Japanese Ministry of Defense were distributed in 4 exercise areas. Except for the 4th wave launched from Fujian and passed over Taiwan, which produced the effect of “simultaneous bombing”, other None. He explained that in order to disperse the defense capabilities of the national army, the PLA’s missiles should be launched at different locations and times to achieve the greatest degree of “saturation attack”.
Jie Zhong analyzed the lack of these two points. The PLA’s joint operations planning and commanding capabilities were insufficient, and the tactical level of the troops was insufficient. Moreover, there was a 36-hour interval between Pelosi’s arrival in Taiwan and the start of the exercise. The situation, “does not meet the basic requirements of Xi Jinping’s actual combat”