2024-03-22 15:10:04

An early announcement of the Sudanese alliance in the Iraqi elections

Although the Iraqi Prime Minister has not yet revealed whether he will participate in the upcoming elections or not, the Minister of Labor assumed the task of “early announcing” a political alliance led by Muhammad Shiaa Al-Sudani, while indicating that “Al-Maliki is not the only one who decides within the ruling alliance,” in reference to To the latter’s intentions to amend the election law.

Minister Ahmed Al-Asadi said, during a television interview, that he “will participate in the upcoming parliamentary elections as part of a list led by Prime Minister Muhammad Shiaa Al-Sudani.” Although Al-Sudani’s political partners, especially in the “Shiite coordination framework,” know that the prime minister, who leads the “Furatin Movement,” which has two seats in the Iraqi parliament, wants to enter the elections to win more seats based on what he has achieved during the period he has spent so far in office. .

Al-Asadi added, saying: “Al-Sudani has not yet announced his political project, and it is expected that many will rush to join his list once it is announced to ensure an easy victory given the man’s acceptance in the Iraqi street.”

Iraqi Minister of Labor Ahmed Al-Asadi (X)

Sudanese project

If Al-Asadi is the first prominent official within the “Coordinating Framework Forces,” whose movement is affiliated with the armed factions, to disclose the Sudanese alliance, then it is expected that the features of this political project and its participants will appear in the coming days.

According to current indicators, confirmed by striking statements from some leaders of the “coordination framework,” differences will clearly emerge between supporters of early elections, which are included in the government program as a condition for their formation at the right time, and those who want the current government to continue until the end of the current session, the end of next year. Elections will be held in early 2026.

Controversy in this regard is raging within the Shiite community, especially the “coordinating framework forces,” which are divided among themselves on many issues, including evaluating Sudanese’s performance, the elections, and whether or not the leader of the Sadrist movement, Muqtada al-Sadr, will return to the elections.

The Kurdish forces are now busy with the region’s elections amid disagreements between the competing parties there, which Baghdad is accused of fueling, once by issuing decisions from the Federal Court against the “Kurdistan Democratic Party”, led by Masoud Barzani, in favor of another party close to Baghdad, which is the “Patriotic Union of Kurdistan.” Or at the level of localizing the salaries of the region’s employees, which is another controversial point within the region.

As for the Sunni forces, after the vacancy of the position of Speaker of Parliament by a decision of the Federal Court, the target of which was the “Taqaddum Party” and its leader, Muhammad al-Halbousi, the dismissed Speaker of Parliament, they are now suffering from further fragmentation in order to compete for the position of Speaker of Parliament, which means that they are like the Kurdish forces. She is not interested whether the elections are held on time or earlier.

Iraqi Prime Minister Muhammad Shia al-Sudani (Reuters)

The dialectic between Al-Sadr and Al-Maliki

At the level of the position on Sudanese, the Shiite dialectic of the relationship between the leader of the “State of Law” Nouri al-Maliki, the declared opponent of Al-Sadr and the undeclared opponent of Al-Sudani, and Al-Sadr is the declared opponent of the entire political class, but he did not put any obstacles in the face of the Sudanese government.

If Sudanese participates in the elections, which is quite likely, what concerns him is the current law in force with the single-district system, while Al-Maliki and Al-Sadr, in their strong disagreement, support the multi-district law.

A report by Asharq Al-Awsat revealed that the law that Al-Maliki is working on stipulates dividing Iraq into 50 electoral districts, and in Baghdad alone, 10 districts, and mixed with this recipe the list system within the districts.

The Sadrist movement believes that the multi-district law serves them more in the Shiite provinces, even though they are always reassured by the clearly advanced results of their victory.

However, the problem lies in the context of the relationship between Al-Maliki, the leader of the “State of Law,” and Muhammad Shiaa Al-Sudani, the former leader of the “State of Law” who resigned from “Al-Da’wa.”

Therefore, Al-Maliki defends the multi-constituency law so that he can stop the advance of the Sudanese who benefit from the single-constituency law.

During a television interview, Al-Maliki said: “Service projects do not necessarily help the government win a second term,” referring to Al-Sudani.

The leader of the “Al-Hikma Movement,” Ammar Al-Hakim, said about two weeks ago that the concerns of some parties about the rise of Prime Minister Muhammad Shiaa Al-Sudani led them to propose amending the electoral law with the district system to prevent his victory in the upcoming legislative elections.

The “coordinating framework” forces during one of its meetings in the presence of the Sudanese (INA)

Early elections

Al-Maliki supports holding early elections, while many forces within the “coordination framework,” including powerful forces such as “Asa’ib” led by Qais Khazali, “Al-Hikma” led by Ammar Al-Hakim, “Al-Nasr” led by Haider Al-Abadi, and the Ahmed Al-Asadi movement (Al-Sindh), They do not support it and tend to see the government complete its full term.

Al-Maliki confirmed, in press statements, that he preferred amending the law, which would mean standing publicly against Al-Sudani, which was rejected by Al-Asadi, a future ally of the Prime Minister, who said that Al-Maliki is not “the only leader who decides,” which reflects the depth of the crisis within the “framework forces.”

Not only that, Al-Maliki suggested the resignation of any official who wanted to participate in the elections 6 months before the polls. In doing so, he cut the last hair between him and the Sudanese and even his ally Al-Assad, because the resignation includes both of them. Al-Sudani as Prime Minister and Al-Assadi as Minister of Labor, which is rejected by other leaders within the Shiite political community.

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