Luxury minivans that are selling well anyway
The current Toyota “Alphard” is the third generation released in January 2015. Seven years have already passed, and there are rumors of a full model change in the streets, but the total annual sales volume is 4th in 2020 and 7th in 2021, which is very popular despite the high price and the end of the model. It’s a luxury minivan.
As of the beginning of May 2022, the Alphard’s factory shipment standard is about “4 months”, which is affected by the shortage of new cars like other models. So what about used cars that are in stock and can be delivered immediately? As a result of the investigation, I came to the conclusion that “the used car is too expensive now, so the new car is the best”. I will explain the reason.
The Alphard model development is very wide. There are three types of power trains: V-type 6-cylinder 3.5L, in-line 4-cylinder 2.5L gasoline (both have FF and 4WD set for all grades), and in-line 4-cylinder 2.5L gasoline + motor hybrid (all models 4WD). The number is 19 grades. It takes a lot of reading comprehension to understand everything.
Therefore, this time, I focused on the “hybrid”, which has a good balance between driving and fuel efficiency. However, the “executive lounge”, which has a new car price in the 7 million yen range and is in the high price range, is excluded. In other words, the new car price is around 5 million yen.
Many popular hybrid 2.5 SR C packages
carview! Looking at the used car market graph on the used car site, the recent trend is high and the number of hybrids in stock is as low as 247, so the merit of choosing a used car is already doubtful.
The number of units for each grade is as follows.
・ Hybrid 2.5 SR C package (72 units)
・ Hybrid 2.5 SR (57 units)
・ Hybrid 2.5 GF package (41 units)
・ Hybrid 2.5 G (18 units)
・ Hybrid 2.5 X (47 units)
* It does not match the total number of listings because there is a discrepancy due to the registration of the store.
The trend is that the popular hybrid grade “2.5 SR C Package” has a lot of stock as it is popular, and the others are side by side with around 40 to 50 units. The small number of “G” has been downgraded due to some improvements in May 2021.
Hybrid used car inventory is low and high price
How is the status of stock cars? Looking at the popular hybrid 2.5 SR C package, the one with the lowest total payment is from the latter half of 3 million yen, but although there is no overrunning vehicle such as over 100,000 km, the mileage is 80,000 to tens of thousands of kilometers. As such, the model year will be around the early 2015. It is a reasonable price in the middle of 5 million yen, centered on older models and low driving. In addition, areas with stock cars are concentrated in some areas such as Kanto, Kansai, and Hokkaido, and there are only a few cars in other areas.
The total amount of new cars was estimated on Toyota’s estimation site. The hybrid 2.5 SR C package is equipped with the minimum options such as navigation, ETC, and floor mat, for a total of about 6.14 million yen. The discount range is said to be around 400,000 yen, and if you subtract 400,000 yen, it will be 5.74 million yen.
Then, if you look at the “new car unregistered” cars that are similar to the new cars in the used car inventory, most of them are around 6 million yen. Although it is affected by optional equipment, it is more expensive than a new car. As mentioned above, old-fashioned and low-mileage cars are in the middle of the 5 million yen range, so compared to the price of new cars, there is almost no bargain for used cars.
From the above, if you are considering purchasing now, it may be a good idea to order a new car as soon as possible because it is not yet clear that the shortage of new cars will be resolved even at the end of the model.