2023 will likely be the hottest year in 125,000 years

2023-11-08 08:14:13

2023 continues its race to the top of the thermometer: the month of October was the hottest ever recorded in the world, announces the European Copernicus observatory.

“We can say with near certainty that 2023 will be the hottest year on record,” Samantha Burgess, deputy head of the climate change department at the European Copernicus observatory. The last annual heat record dates back to 2016.

The month of October this year particularly panicked the counters, with an average of 15.38°C observed on the surface of the globe. This is the fifth monthly record in a row, after equally exceptional months of June, July, August and September.

+1,7

degree

The month of October 2023 was “1.7°C warmer than the average October over the period 1850-1900”.

“Exceptional” anomaly

October 2023 is “1.7°C warmer than the average October over the period 1850-1900”, before the effect of humanity’s greenhouse gas emissions, reveals the observatory . The anomaly is “exceptional” for global temperatures.

“When we bring our data together with that of the IPCC, we can say that this year will be the hottest in the last 125,000 years“, a dit Samantha Burgess.

More than ever, 2023 approaches the emblematic limit over a whole year (+1.5°C) of the Paris Agreement, of which COP28 must establish the first official assessment and, if possible, the first corrective measure.

The future of fossil fuels discussed at COP28

COP28 will be held from November 30 to December 12, 2023 in Dubai, United Arab Emirates. The objective of this major climate conference is to limit warming compared to the pre-industrial era to less than 2°C and preferably to 1.5°C, in accordance with the objectives of the Paris agreement.

The future of fossil fuels will be at the heart of COP28: most of the world’s largest producers have committed to achieve carbon neutrality by mid-century. But the United Nations Environment Program’s annual production gap report clearly shows that production plans in the top 20 producing countries (including the United States, China, Russia, Australia and the UAE United Arabs) go in the opposite direction.

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