Former President Lula da Silva remains the top favorite, leading with 15 percentage points over the current president, Jair Bolsonaro, according to a survey released this Thursday.
Former President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva remains the top favorite to win in the presidential elections on October 2 in Brazil, with an advantage now of 15 percentage points over the current president, Jair Bolsonaro, according to a survey released this Thursday.
According to the survey carried out by the Datafolha Institute, the leader of the leftist Workers’ Party (PT) obtained 47% of the intention to vote in the survey carried out this week, without variation with respect to the last two surveys carried out by the same signature.
The leader of the Brazilian far-right, for his part, increased his intention to vote by three percentage points, going from 29% a month ago to the current 32%, thereby reducing Lula’s advantage from 18 to 15 points.
The voting intention poll is the first released since the official start of the candidates’ electoral campaign launched last Monday and which no longer includes names such as that of the deputy and digital influencer André Janones, who declared his support for Lula.
Compared to the survey at the end of July, the veteran politician Luciano Bivar and General Carlos Alberto dos Santos Cruz are also absent, who did not make their candidacies official, unlike Senator Soraya Thronicke (Uniao Brasil) and former deputy Roberto Jefferson, who presented at the last minute.
Jefferson, of the Brazilian Labor Party (PTB), is an ally of Bolsonaro and is under house arrest accused of different crimes related to his alleged leadership of a “digital militia” created to attack the judiciary.
The survey confirmed the polarization in the presidential elections, with a distance of Lula and Bolsonaro from the rest of the candidates nominated by center parties and who try to emerge as alternativesbut remain without possibilities.
Other candidates besides Lula and Bolsonaro
The former governor of Ceará and former senator Ciro Gomes, the third most voted candidate in the presidential elections four years ago and nominated by the Democratic Labor Party (PDT), dropped from 8% of voting intentions, which he had in July, to 7%. From now.
Senator Simone Tebet, nominated by the Brazilian Democratic Movement (MDB), the country’s main centrist force, is in fourth place with the same 2% favoritism she had in July.
Lucia Vera, black candidate of the leftist Socialist Party of Unified Workers (PSTU), appears with 1%.
The other seven candidates did not meet the threshold of 1% favoritism.
In a possible second round, scheduled for October 30, Lula would win with 54% of the votes, compared to 37% for Bolsonaro.
According to Datasheetwhich listened between Tuesday and Thursday of this week to 5,744 voters in 281 cities in the country, the poll has a margin of error of two percentage points up or down.