Expert analysis of the CCP’s deployment of Guangdong into the wartime system and mechanism | Guangdong’s pre-war mobilization | Recording | Lutheran

[The Epoch Times, May 24, 2022](The Epoch Times reporter Yi Fan interviewed and reported) In response to the instructions of the CCP Military Commission, the CCP Guangdong Military Region and the Guangdong Provincial Party Committee recently held a pre-war joint deployment meeting.recordingbeen leaked. Expert analysis points out that the CCP deploys this mechanism to switch from peacetime to wartime, which undoubtedly increases the danger of the Taiwan Strait. The international community cannot underestimate the CCP’s ambitions.

May 15, We MediaLutheranExclusive disclosure of this meeting that should be classified as “top secret” by the CCPrecording.According to the recording, this was an enlarged meeting of the Standing Committee convened by the Guangdong Provincial Committee of the Communist Party of China after receiving the mobilization order from the Communist Party of China, to deploy the province’s “transfer intowartime system“Mechanism-related major issues.

wartime systemMechanism refers to a temporary transitional system implemented by a country in times of war. Its purpose is to strengthen the service function of the political, economic, social, cultural and other fields to the war, so as to support the country to fully devote itself to the war and achieve victory.

It can be heard from the recording that at least six people attended the meeting: Zhou He (major general), commander of the Guangdong Military Region, Huang Shanchun (major general), member of the Standing Committee of the Guangdong Provincial Party Committee and political commissar of the provincial military region, Li Xi, secretary of the Guangdong Provincial Party Committee, and deputy secretary of the Guangdong Provincial Party Committee and concurrently Governor Wang Weizhong, Member of the Standing Committee of the Guangdong Provincial Party Committee and Secretary of the Political and Legal Committee and Executive Vice Governor Zhang Hu and Vice Governor of Guangdong Province and Secretary of the Party Committee of the Provincial Public Security Department Wang Zhizhong.

LutheranThe meeting was held on May 14, 2022, Beijing time, and the recording was passed on to the outside world by senior officials of the Chinese military at great risk.

The meeting proposed that, according to the instructions of superiors and the actual situation of Guangdong Province, it is recommended to focus on three tasks in accordance with the principles of peace (peace period) and war (war period), military force instigation, and rapidity and order: building the military and the local ) to jointly mobilize the command system, implement the wartime work mechanism, and prepare for wartime control.

There are two directions for strategic decisive mobilization preparations—the direction of the Taiwan Strait (Taiwan Strait) and the direction of the South China Sea. The two directions have different priorities.

The meeting mentioned that the experience and practice of epidemic prevention and control should be translated into control measures in wartime society. Lutheran commented that in recent years, the CCP has insisted on adopting the method of clearing the virus and closing the city in society, which may be preparations for war.

In the recording, Li Xi, secretary of the Guangdong Provincial Party Committee, said that to quickly adjust the work center from focusing on economic development to ensuring strategic success, we must follow the principle of “military-civilian integration, military products first” (factory production must first meet the needs of war). Do a good job in military production and civilian production. The most important thing is to organize production and stabilize production. It is necessary to use various means to retain workers, prevent the supply of resources and industrial chains from being cut off, and ensure the safety of the supply of important strategic materials.

Li Xi also said that it is necessary to strictly prevent the tide of financial runs, the evacuation of factories, and the return of migrant workers. At the same time, Guangdong Province is adjacent to Hong Kong and Macao, and it is necessary to strictly prevent “hostile forces” from infiltrating and disrupting the CCP’s war behavior. Later in the recording, it is mentioned that one of Guangdong’s tasks is to “assist Hong Kong and Macao in maintaining stability.”

The meeting proposed that Guangdong Province had completed the establishment of military and civilian command organizations at all levels on April 8. Among them, the provincial military-civilian joint headquarters is the highest organ of command and organization and mobilization in Guangdong Province, and is directly ordered by the eastern and southern theaters. The secretary of the provincial party committee is the commander-in-chief, and the provincial governor, the commander of the provincial military region, and the political commissar are the commanders. The command and support system is arranged according to the scale of one battalion at the provincial level, one company at the municipal level, and one platoon at the county level.

In terms of national defense mobilization and ground defense operations, Guangdong has a total of 239 mobilization tasks in 20 categories, including 1,358 units of various types, 140,000 militiamen, 953 ships, 1,653 sets of unmanned equipment, as well as airports, docks, repair/shipyards , emergency transfer centers, as well as resources such as grain depots, hospitals, blood stations, oil depots, gas stations, etc.; recruited a total of 15,500 new military service personnel, retired soldiers, and special talents; coordinated the implementation of 7 types of national-level combat readiness resources, including 10,000-ton rolling stock There are 64 ships and ships, 38 aircrafts, 588 train carriages and 19 civil facilities such as airports and docks.

The meeting also studied the mobilization of marine resources, and proposed to complete the addition/refit of 365 ro-ro ships and other types of ships within 45 days. There are 90 capable ship repair and construction enterprises in Guangdong Province, and they need to select 23 wharfs in coastal cities to quickly organize the addition/refitting of fishing boats at multiple points. Cadres should also be equipped with the ship to optimize the militia on board. Each ship is equipped with crew members, veterans, medical personnel, communications personnel, defense forces, and major equipment operators. There will also be more than 2,000 sets of high-tech equipment such as unmanned equipment for warfare and radar and sonar on board.

The meeting mentioned that it is also necessary to explore the potential of civil networks to support operations. On the one hand, it can mobilize network technology companies such as Huawei and Tencent, and on the other hand, it can recruit network experts from large enterprises such as China Southern Power Grid Guangdong Company and Guangzhou Metro Group. At the same time, through several major network industry associations to further tap the potential. Strengthen the monitoring, early warning and security protection of financial, energy, power, transportation and information systems to ensure that key areas are not lost.

The meeting also raised whether the advantage of space can be used to support operations. Guangdong Province currently has four satellite teams and 16 low-orbit satellites, capable of global remote sensing imaging with ultra-high optical resolution of 0.5 to 10 meters (the resolution of US commercial satellites is 0.1 meters). It is necessary to do a good job in the security protection of the satellite receiving station.

In terms of overseas mobilization, Huang Shanchun, political commissar of the Guangdong Provincial Military Region, said that overseas mobilization is an important support for the strategic victory of Taiwan. It is necessary to give full play to the large number of overseas Chinese in Guangdong Province, the large number of state-owned enterprises and private enterprises, and the large number of economic and trade cooperation with countries along the “Belt and Road”. The advantages. Adopting the method of “covering the army with the people and supporting the army with the people”, combined with a subtle and obvious combination, mobilized the purchase of high-end chips, precision machinery, special materials and other materials that are in short supply in China, as well as large quantities of strategic reserve materials, to break the Western alliance’s containment of the CCP’s strategic materials. Bureau. Strive to use all resources in the world for its use.

The recording also discusses how to rescue the nuclear leak, different options for ground defense deployment, and increased penalties for those who refuse to call.

Analysis: Don’t underestimate the CCP’s ambitions

Shi Shan, an expert on China, said that the transition from peacetime to wartime has always existed in China, but it has not been used for many years, and this recording is very detailed and specific. “I believe not only Guangdong Province, but many provinces should have started, maybe even all provinces.”

Shi Shan said that with this mechanism, the danger of the Taiwan Strait will undoubtedly increase greatly. But this does not mean that the CCP will immediately enter this mechanism and start a war. The CCP may normalize the mechanism of peace and war, thereby paralyzing the attention of the outside world. “It is very difficult for the CCP to keep others from knowing that it has assembled itself, but it does so every one or two months. Over time, the outside world will not be able to tell which is true and which is false. This shortens the The time before the war does not give Taiwan or the United States enough time to prepare.”

Before the end of this year, the CCP will hold the 20th National Congress of the leadership transition. Shi Shan believes that it is unlikely that the CCP will attack Taiwan before the 20th National Congress.However, the General Secretary of the Communist Party of ChinaXi JinpingIf threatened in a power struggle, he does not rule out using a “declaration without war” approach to regain power. “Once the wartime mechanism is established, it actually destroys all government operations in peacetime. It manages everything, the command replaces the government, and the normal government structure is completely abolished. He can take it back in this way. that power.”

In terms of specific tactics, Shi Shan believes that the CCP will not play cards according to common sense. If nearly a thousand fishing boats suddenly approach Taiwan without declaring war, how will Taiwan’s warships respond? It also doesn’t know what’s in the boat. The CCP will use this kind of disguise to achieve ulterior motives, or surprise, or create chaos, or mislead public opinion.

Responsible editor: Lian Shuhua#

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