“Growing Political Unrest and Economic Instability in Pakistan: Insights from The Soufan Group and American Researchers”

2023-05-12 06:35:09

The Soufan Group shed light on the events in Pakistan following the arrest of former Prime Minister Imran Khan, and spoke of growing fears that the security services would resort to harsher measures in order to quell the demonstrations.

The group said that Khan’s popularity increased at a time when the government and the army tried to intensify the campaign against him. About the control of the “Taliban” movement in Afghanistan, and the presence of a government of the extremist nationalist trend in India.

The group also notes that climate change-related disasters such as floods have claimed hundreds of lives, as well as hundreds of thousands.

She touched on the growing activity of the “Taliban” movement in Pakistan on the border with Afghanistan, pointing out that this group is targeting the Pakistani security forces, and recalled the suicide bombing that targeted a mosque in Peshawar last February, which killed more than 100 people.

And she considered that the Pakistani economy is on the brink of the abyss, in light of the high rate of inflation, noting that Islamabad is close to defaulting on debt payments.

The group warned that political instability makes facing these challenges a much more difficult task, as the government will be busy ending the current crisis.

She also warned that the indicators are not encouraging, saying that Pakistan may soon find itself slipping towards a failed state in light of the deteriorating economic situation.

Targeting military installations in Pakistan

In a related context, American researcher Adam Weinstein said in an article published on the “Responsible Statecraft” website that the targeting of military installations in Pakistan is a rare phenomenon, although the arrest of politicians and mass demonstrations is a common phenomenon.

The writer pointed out that some of Khan’s political opponents said that his detention was the result of his conflict with the security establishment.

He added that critics of Khan and his political party, the PTI, have expressed their solidarity with the former prime minister, through social media.

The writer also warned that the arrest of Khan exacerbates the political crisis that was already in the process of escalation, and that what is happening is adding fuel to the fire as the country approaches the brink of economic disaster.

He also warned that the repercussions are not limited to Khan alone, as it constitutes a strong blow to Pakistan’s efforts to overcome the economic crisis and obtain regional support.

The writer added that the issue carries with it possible repercussions on the level of US-Pakistani relations, and that the crisis poses a dilemma for Washington as the latter tries to support the democratic process in Pakistan, while maintaining friendly relations with all known parties and relying on the Pakistani military establishment as a partner in the “fight against terrorism.” .

The writer concluded that the issuance of any comment from Washington, whether publicly or behind closed doors, may cause damage, warning that the United States’ involvement in an internal political conflict would be unwise.

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Read more in: The Gulf and the World

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