Haley clears the way for Trump

This is a new edition of the duel between Trump and the current Democratic US President Joe Biden, who wants to run for a second term.

Haley drew the conclusions after Trump went on a winning streak on Super Tuesday and won almost all of the votes. Polls predict that the race between Trump and Biden, who has no serious internal competition in his party, is likely to be close.

Anyone who wants to become the Republican or Democratic presidential candidate in the USA must first win the party’s internal primaries. The presidential candidates will not be officially chosen until party conferences in the summer. The actual presidential election is finally taking place on November 5th.

Video article: Super Tuesday in den USA

Super election day: 15 states voted

On Super Election Day on Tuesday, the Republicans held primaries in 15 states, all of which Trump won with one exception. Haley scored a small surprise victory in the northeastern state of Vermont, as he did before in the liberal capital district of Washington. However, this was hardly significant in terms of numbers and was therefore only a symbolic success in an otherwise rather hopeless race.

Nikki Haley leaves.
Bild: ANNA MONEYMAKER (GETTY IMAGES NORTH AMERICA)

Trump easily won the remaining primaries and was also the clear favorite for the remaining votes. Haley – the former US ambassador to the United Nations, who represented Trump’s foreign policy in the first years of his presidency – has now given up in view of his dominance in the race.

This means that Trump has already been confirmed as his party’s presidential candidate before the end of the primaries, even if his official nomination at the Republican nomination party conference in Milwaukee in mid-July is still pending. Since Biden is also considered the Democratic candidate regardless of the primary election procedure, the two will compete against each other for the second time in November – unless one of them unexpectedly drops out for other reasons.

In the middle of the election year, Trump is facing four criminal proceedings over various serious allegations. Among other things, he must answer in court for his attempts to subsequently reverse the outcome of the 2020 presidential election. However, it is questionable whether there could be a legally binding verdict in any of the court cases by the election date. And even a conviction would not per se prevent Trump from contesting the election.

Video article: Trump success on Super Tuesday

If Trump ultimately stumbles over one of the criminal proceedings and is no longer a presidential candidate, Haley could theoretically return as her party’s Plan B. As with other presidential candidates who have left the race, their election campaign is technically only suspended and could be revived in case of doubt. The fact that she stayed in the race for so long despite more than meager prospects also suggests that she wanted to sharpen her profile.

Biden challenged the then-President in the 2020 election and won the vote. To this day, however, the Republican refuses to admit his defeat and has since then spread unwavering and unfounded claims that he was deprived of a victory through massive electoral fraud. Trump’s campaign against the election result culminated in an unprecedented outbreak of violence: on January 6, 2021, Trump supporters stormed the parliament building in the capital Washington. The attack on the heart of US democracy did not prevent Trump from making a comeback – nor did the many other scandals during his term in office from 2017 to 2021.

COMBO-FILES-US-POLITICS-VOTE-TRUMP-BIDEN
Now the question is: who can prevail? Trump or Biden?
Image: PATRICK T. FALLON SAUL LOEB (AFP)

According to surveys, many Americans are not very enthusiastic about another duel between Trump and Biden in the presidential election in November, also because of their age. Biden is 81 years old, Trump is 77.

If Trump wins the election, his policies are likely to become much more extreme. Further US support for Ukraine, which is being attacked by Russia, is then at stake in foreign policy terms, as is US membership in important international alliances such as NATO.

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